NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99402b3e4e198e75487baab69d97e6fea09850811ca2aae173048bd8f130c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Cavaliers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,073,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,303,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,073,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers | 61c | 928,347$570,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570,496.9 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 40c | 879,850$347,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532,230.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Thunder | 38c | 394,736$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,736.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 59c | 362,452$213,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,578.95 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 59c | 114,943$67,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,924.71 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 39c | 78,441$30,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,849.03 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 71c | 66,632$47,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,528.18 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 39c | 64,784$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,784.2 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Thunder | 40c | 63,921$25,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,257.33 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder | 39c | 58,908$22,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,197 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 38c | 58,146$21,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,257.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 51,967$24,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,683.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 51,018$31,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,631 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Cavaliers | 39c | 50,717$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 39c | 49,232$19,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,910.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Cavaliers | 62c | 48,641$29,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,962.66 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 38c | 48,441$18,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,107.12 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 47,472$17,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,151.4 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers | 58c | 45,113$26,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,284.12 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…8d2ebacked Thunder | 73c | 36,194$26,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 35,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.96 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 39c | 32,447$12,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,939.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Thunder | 49c | 30,959$15,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,644.8 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Thunder | 41c | 30,025$12,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,834.92 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Cavaliers | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 35c | 29,514$10,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,429.76 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 61c | 25,000$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,149.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Cavaliers | 61c | 24,672$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Thunder | 43c | 23,894$10,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,721.19 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Thunder | 40c | 21,581$8,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,948.68 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Cavaliers | 62c | 21,489$13,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,336.55 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 10c | 21,159$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Thunder | 39c | 21,021$8,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,812.28 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 56c | 20,756$11,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,182.97 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.96 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers | 1c | 19,416$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Thunder | 37c | 18,888$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.35 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Thunder | 39c | 18,385$7,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,147 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Thunder | 38c | 18,340$7,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,289.26 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Cavaliers | 61c | 17,733$10,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,778.42 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 27c | 16,286$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…51f0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 15,718$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Thunder | 48c | 15,193$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,892.74 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Thunder | 38c | 15,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 59c | 15,000$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.37 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Thunder | 63c | 14,973$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.11 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 49c | 14,606$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,513.62 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…06b1backed Cavaliers | 36c | 13,889$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 57c | 13,770$7,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 13,695$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 24c | 13,567$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.96 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers | 61c | 13,501$8,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,191.93 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Thunder | 41c | 13,420$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,917.68 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 28c | 13,393$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 77c | 13,199$10,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.11 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Cavaliers | 57c | 13,000$7,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.05 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Cavaliers | 63c | 12,771$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.63 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 12,173$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.95 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 12,055$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,459.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 11,871$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 11,730$7,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,329.9 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 11,455$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.31 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Thunder | 67c | 11,452$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.24 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 11,131$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 40c | 11,000$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.9 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 61c | 10,638$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.82 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Thunder | 37c | 10,534$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,636.59 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Cavaliers | 63c | 10,338$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,512.78 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Thunder | 48c | 10,223$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.81 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 40c | 10,211$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.62 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Cavaliers | 14c | 10,030$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.9 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 10,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Cavaliers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a57…ae1dbacked Thunder | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Thunder | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Thunder | 69c | 10,000$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.99 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…04e1backed Cavaliers | 57c | 9,984$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 68c | 9,339$6,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.09 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 72c | 9,153$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.35 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Thunder | 58c | 8,871$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.81 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 8,790$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Thunder | 47c | 8,649$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 48c | 8,631$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.89 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 8,597$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 8,509$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.03 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Thunder | 45c | 8,433$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.69 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…627bbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 8,300$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Cavaliers | 58c | 8,237$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.17 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Cavaliers | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Thunder | 43c | 8,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Cavaliers | 36c | 7,866$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.58 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Thunder | 71c | 7,792$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.45 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 7,705$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 43c | 7,649$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.47 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Cavaliers | 38c | 7,591$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.57 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Thunder | 35c | 7,297$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.11 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.