NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1164105d3b4aecdd7050b6c05331fd29b46773cdf0a579e8ab7321a836336972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 47c | 113,013$53,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,232.02 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 95,987$50,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,564.27 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.98 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 43,060$21,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,117.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 36,319$18,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,424.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 35,796$16,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,471.9 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,450 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 22,207$10,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,952.94 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…a2debacked Under | 50c | 11,676$5,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,838 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7038…e434backed Over | 50c | 9,779$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 52c | 8,703$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…dac5backed Over | 50c | 7,203$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 6,956$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.48 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 6,768$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 5,411$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 47c | 5,169$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 4,566$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.7 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 54c | 4,009$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.46 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 3,999$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.6 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…c3dabacked Under | 50c | 3,805$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 3,077$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 50c | 2,669$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,588$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 2,372$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,195$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 2,029$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.71 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee42…4a2cbacked Under | 52c | 1,502$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,303$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,075$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 999.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 959.4$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.29 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 53c | 771.21$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 732$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.51 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 31c | 628.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 16c | 622.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 599.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 28c | 471$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 54c | 448.74$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 374$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 34c | 373.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 49c | 370.71$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 77c | 369.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 368.83$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 54c | 354$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 35c | 318.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…9816backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 27c | 299.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 39c | 268.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 75c | 230.91$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 14c | 222.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 48c | 206.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 204.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 187.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 176.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 14c | 146$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ea…4558backed Under | 24c | 127.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 124$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…8387backed Over | 76c | 123.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…84a9backed Under | 18c | 111.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…7b55backed Under | 34c | 103.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 55c | 91.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 89.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 64c | 87.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 82.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 53c | 69.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1adfbacked Under | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 47c | 57.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked Under | 46c | 49.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 48.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 67c | 47.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 77c | 46.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…a17cbacked Over | 55c | 45.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Cavaliers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.