Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e0a718041ddbf0855fb655cfcb5944636b33ce8ccaaee7dce0940aa80465ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $936,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $896,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 663 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 38c | 64,049$24,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,969.13 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 1c | 47,853$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…3303backed Yes | 28c | 43,038$12,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,987.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…fec2backed No | 72c | 43,038$30,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,987.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 71c | 36,764$26,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,636.86 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…60a3backed No | 1c | 15,346$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…1761backed Yes | 19c | 11,727$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,550.74 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…4241backed Yes | 29c | 11,542$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,194.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eae…e469backed No | 2c | 11,497$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 50c | 11,264$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.14 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…5764backed No | 1c | 11,157$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 33c | 10,863$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 2c | 10,721$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +227.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…5d80backed No | 48c | 10,106$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…1d82backed No | 6c | 9,580$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 2c | 8,705$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 37c | 7,988$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.87 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 21c | 7,823$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.11 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…d77fbacked No | 71c | 7,740$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,495.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…89a1backed No | 80c | 7,476$5,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,951.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 21c | 7,240$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…88fcbacked Yes | 29c | 7,026$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 72c | 6,741$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked No | 67c | 5,133$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.53 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 4,876$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…c8b0backed No | 66c | 4,493$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…34efbacked No | 3c | 4,454$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 77c | 4,329$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…a4d5backed No | 3c | 4,260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 63c | 4,257$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.01 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…d000backed No | 3c | 4,223$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…5398backed No | 2c | 4,223$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed No | 4c | 4,201$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…3daebacked No | 16c | 4,157$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 42c | 4,144$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.52 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…29f6backed No | 4c | 4,032$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked No | 3c | 4,019$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 17cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked No | 2c | 4,013$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6a…4d09backed No | 71c | 3,999$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…243bbacked No | 3c | 3,850$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…6235backed No | 34c | 3,826$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.71 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 45c | 3,635$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed No | 38c | 3,572$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…e0f7backed No | 3c | 3,568$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed No | 3c | 3,524$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…f57dbacked No | 71c | 3,506$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 3c | 3,495$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 50c | 3,488$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.26 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…e7b2backed No | 71c | 3,323$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…3452backed Yes | 28c | 3,303$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 50c | 3,123$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.16 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 77c | 2,986$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.07 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed No | 67c | 2,973$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9057backed No | 70c | 2,900$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.82 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed No | 4c | 2,876$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 29c | 2,874$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.92 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed No | 2c | 2,798$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…fb6abacked No | 4c | 2,780$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…9445backed No | 0c | 2,710$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…301fbacked No | 4c | 2,686$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…b4a8backed No | 6c | 2,661$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 3c | 2,576$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…df3ebacked No | 38c | 2,562$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 66c | 2,514$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.37 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…3ac8backed No | 3c | 2,512$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2063backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…c27ebacked No | 48c | 2,479$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…d2a6backed No | 5c | 2,211$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…7200backed No | 2c | 2,174$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 78c | 2,167$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.54 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed14…bebcbacked No | 49c | 2,126$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 77c | 2,106$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.78 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed No | 6c | 2,100$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 2,100$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.99 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked No | 42c | 2,070$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 1c | 2,010$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 62c | 1,964$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…8bdcbacked Yes | 71c | 1,893$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.92 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…cf60backed Yes | 31c | 1,890$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…8aeabacked No | 2c | 1,843$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 33c | 1,833$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.33 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…8402backed No | 3c | 1,765$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,750$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 1,749$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.44 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed No | 6c | 1,741$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed No | 3c | 1,725$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…cee4backed Yes | 49c | 1,719$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 26c | 1,713$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.87 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…ef7abacked No | 4c | 1,686$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed Yes | 24c | 1,672$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…9387backed No | 1c | 1,670$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed No | 54c | 1,656$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.57 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…9ad5backed No | 2c | 1,597$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964d…5194backed No | 66c | 1,586$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked No | 6c | 1,556$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…353fbacked No | 45c | 1,531$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…ed52backed No | 3c | 1,507$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 75c | 1,487$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?this page
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Yes won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?No won
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.