NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307daf7bd633fcd1cb2c96adfccef2ea4b27e503c54146276510a8656b47b565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,074,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,204,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,074,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,963 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 28c | 1,303,043$366,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366,568.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Thunder | 23c | 360,147$82,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,833.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Spurs | 78c | 321,242$250,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,673.16 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 65c | 252,207$162,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,460.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Spurs | 77c | 201,684$155,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,387.29 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs | 77c | 163,888$126,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,355.47 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 72c | 135,296$97,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,925.6 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 61c | 128,481$78,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,446.74 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 77c | 100,000$77,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.96 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Thunder | 53c | 88,000$46,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,639.95 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 72c | 84,380$61,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,376.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 78c | 80,323$62,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,824.33 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 73c | 76,207$55,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,886.75 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 12c | 74,582$8,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,809.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Spurs | 57c | 68,039$38,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,443.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Spurs | 77c | 63,000$48,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,490 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 5c | 53,481$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.48 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 3c | 52,975$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.34 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 51c | 51,103$25,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,198.35 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Spurs | 73c | 50,000$36,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,652.71 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 35c | 47,962$17,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 7c | 47,556$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.26 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Thunder | 12c | 43,500$5,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 7c | 37,259$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.15 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Spurs | 49c | 37,000$18,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,798.42 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Spurs | 61c | 36,491$22,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,231.49 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Thunder | 27c | 36,300$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,620.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a2…a9a8backed Spurs | 47c | 35,943$16,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,049.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 28c | 33,683$9,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,586.6 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Spurs | 78c | 32,114$25,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Thunder | 23c | 32,000$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,360 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 9c | 31,905$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.31 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Spurs | 62c | 29,757$18,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,361.76 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Spurs | 67c | 28,022$18,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.23 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs | 47c | 27,094$12,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,359.85 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Spurs | 74c | 26,822$19,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,925.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 76c | 26,280$20,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,187.14 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 77c | 26,000$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Thunder | 23c | 25,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.98 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Thunder | 5c | 24,565$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 32c | 24,564$7,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,976.89 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…f2d6backed Thunder | 53c | 22,098$11,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,711.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Spurs | 45c | 21,700$9,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,842.99 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Thunder | 55c | 21,700$11,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,842.93 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Thunder | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Thunder | 12c | 19,502$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.54 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs | 77c | 18,746$14,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.97 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Spurs | 47c | 18,357$8,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,729.03 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…d67abacked Thunder | 28c | 18,179$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 23c | 17,676$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.73 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Thunder | 0c | 17,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 59c | 16,880$9,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940.76 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 22c | 16,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…630abacked Thunder | 53c | 15,849$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 38c | 15,563$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.48 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs | 71c | 15,406$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.85 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 64c | 15,388$9,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 6c | 15,298$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Thunder | 23c | 15,005$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.15 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Spurs | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.28 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Spurs | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Thunder | 35c | 14,585$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 53c | 14,408$7,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Thunder | 24c | 14,000$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.53 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 55c | 13,625$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.81 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Spurs | 64c | 13,458$8,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.66 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 51c | 13,057$6,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.46 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs | 77c | 12,800$9,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Spurs | 77c | 12,500$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.96 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Thunder | 43c | 12,389$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.68 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Spurs | 79c | 11,800$9,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Thunder | 1c | 11,700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs | 47c | 11,686$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.74 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Spurs | 77c | 11,573$8,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.82 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Spurs | 76c | 11,500$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.99 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 22c | 11,314$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Spurs | 63c | 11,000$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.82 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs | 77c | 10,714$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.29 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Thunder | 3c | 10,647$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Thunder | 41c | 10,190$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.2 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Thunder | 22c | 10,095$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.83 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Spurs | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Spurs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Spurs | 70c | 9,864$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.19 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Thunder | 9c | 9,809$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.93 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 52c | 9,364$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.32 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 9c | 9,331$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.13 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 78c | 9,278$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.2 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Thunder | 6c | 9,161$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.83 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 18c | 9,045$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.98 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Thunder | 0c | 8,205$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Spurs | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Spurs | 47c | 7,901$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.53 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Thunder | 53c | 7,900$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.98 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Spurs | 78c | 7,692$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.31 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…93ccbacked Thunder | 7c | 7,502$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.