TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c17,857$9,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,438.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c14,081$6,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,618.0954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Over47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c4,501$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Under63c2,528$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.976055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under30c2,118$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over51c1,979$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,964$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,531$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c1,531$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under56c1,364$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c1,238$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.3858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over37c1,235$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over47c810.64$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38123850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c698.88$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under51c636$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c506.76$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over75c461$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.242,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c458.59$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.82,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under53c376$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.721,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Under63c300$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.28448.8%41 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5720149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c296.25$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under25c258.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.053,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over43c255.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.962,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under67c237.32$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.051,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c196$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.962,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under53c184.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c178.43$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over47c168.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.781,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c148.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Over11c146.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2270%0 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over50c113.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7827943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under44c107.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e14…8d33backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.491,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c72.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1595047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under48c70.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5114557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over55c69.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1927463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c52.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd125…f654backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022763%17 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Under24c43.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.845641.1%23 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Over50c40.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3317750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cd…f2c7backed Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under57c38.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.649358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb0…eae5backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over49c38.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c38.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under37c32.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over50c30.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f99…1427backed Under52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.154549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.335049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over45c29.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.397851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5735…4c95backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b2…2452backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.752,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Over52c24.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Under53c23.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.122277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under55c22.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9845460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Over50c21.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.633534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over56c21.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8119050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.525143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x554b…8216backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3d…1846backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.