NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5874b87afa888eaced8a3a78962570b6031ec2d6e561203a9488bf6de6d455b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 49c | 289,486$142,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,279.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Spurs | 51c | 252,641$128,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,841.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Spurs | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 50c | 136,970$68,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,485.13 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Spurs | 50c | 39,390$19,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,695.46 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 21,468$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,777$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Spurs | 50c | 6,074$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Spurs | 51c | 6,022$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.54 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Spurs | 48c | 5,409$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.96 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.94 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,910$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.9 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Thunder | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,195$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Thunder | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Spurs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Thunder | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 50c | 2,990$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 51c | 2,880$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.39 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder | 49c | 2,460$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.27 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,309$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.82 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs | 51c | 2,159$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.6 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 49c | 2,123$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Thunder | 50c | 1,810$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Thunder | 51c | 1,674$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.44 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Thunder | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Spurs | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,201$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.58 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Spurs | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Spurs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Spurs | 49c | 960.06$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.63 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 57c | 951.61$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Spurs | 50c | 815$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Thunder | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Spurs | 51c | 776.92$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.69 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Spurs | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Spurs | 51c | 688.9$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.56 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 47c | 659$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Spurs | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Spurs | 51c | 588.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Thunder | 51c | 530.83$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Spurs | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Spurs | 51c | 460.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Spurs | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Thunder | 49c | 433.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Thunder | 49c | 433.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.83 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Spurs | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2246backed Thunder | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Spurs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Spurs | 51c | 376.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Spurs | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Spurs | 49c | 343.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Thunder | 50c | 309.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Thunder | 51c | 305.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Spurs | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Spurs | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Thunder | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Thunder | 50c | 278$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Thunder | 50c | 278$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Thunder | 51c | 271.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Spurs | 48c | 270.39$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Thunder | 51c | 244.12$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 48c | 243.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…f5c0backed Thunder | 51c | 243.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Spurs | 52c | 238.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Spurs | 51c | 233.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Spurs | 51c | 227.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Thunder | 51c | 214.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 51c | 208.94$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 51c | 207.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Thunder | 49c | 200.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Spurs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Spurs | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Thunder | 45c | 199.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Thunder | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Spurs | 50c | 176.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…c640backed Spurs | 50c | 173.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…5d40backed Thunder | 52c | 168.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Thunder | 50c | 165.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Thunder | 51c | 159.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Spurs | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Spurs | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30b…3419backed Thunder | 51c | 155.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…9960backed Thunder | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…62aabacked Spurs | 50c | 153.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Thunder | 45c | 153.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Thunder | 50c | 153.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.