NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc53fef3f660730ae8f930d8b7e596a99c67dcccb2acdebede9e2e4436cf1324e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 53c | 7,332$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 53c | 4,912$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.7 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 47c | 4,107$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 56c | 3,923$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 47c | 2,949$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Thunder | 31c | 2,580$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.53 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Spurs | 46c | 2,487$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.12 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Thunder | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.33 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 53c | 1,968$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 69c | 1,917$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.78 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.05 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Thunder | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Spurs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Spurs | 47c | 972.34$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 25c | 884.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Spurs | 47c | 822.81$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.72 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 62c | 703.15$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 66c | 654.29$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 62c | 611.44$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked Spurs | 23c | 600$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Thunder | 46c | 450$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Thunder | 80c | 379.75$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Thunder | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Thunder | 49c | 342.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Spurs | 46c | 305.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Thunder | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Spurs | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Thunder | 54c | 275.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Spurs | 21c | 253.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Thunder | 54c | 249.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Spurs | 47c | 238.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Thunder | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed Thunder | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Spurs | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs | 47c | 128.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed Thunder | 36c | 122.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Thunder | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…d3dabacked Spurs | 47c | 115.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…440ebacked Thunder | 59c | 112.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 41c | 104.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Thunder | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Thunder | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Thunder | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 48c | 83.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs | 74c | 80.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Spurs | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…75debacked Spurs | 47c | 79.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Thunder | 54c | 75.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Thunder | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Thunder | 54c | 74.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Thunder | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…4f7fbacked Thunder | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Thunder | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 62c | 65.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Spurs | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Thunder | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 50c | 63.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Spurs | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Spurs | 74c | 62.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder | 53c | 62.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed Thunder | 35c | 57.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Thunder | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Thunder | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…278fbacked Spurs | 47c | 52.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Thunder | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Thunder | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Spurs | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Thunder | 54c | 45.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Spurs | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Spurs | 47c | 41.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…afd8backed Spurs | 47c | 40.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Thunder | 60c | 40.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked Thunder | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Thunder | 54c | 39.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…7dc4backed Thunder | 54c | 37.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Thunder | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Thunder | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Thunder | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Thunder | 47c | 28.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Spurs | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Spurs | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Thunder | 48c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Thunder | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…2765backed Spurs | 47c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 53c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Thunder | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Spurs | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.