NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91de68761291405d0207654aaa3a32b00ca946473deeca1e872ecbc4d99a421a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Spurs | 57c | 26,954$15,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,615.86 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Thunder | 43c | 19,311$8,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,378.93 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 79c | 16,861$13,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.36 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 63c | 15,987$10,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 54c | 7,351$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 35c | 6,365$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.71 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 43c | 5,966$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 73c | 4,451$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Thunder | 46c | 4,309$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.21 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 45c | 3,443$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 36c | 3,424$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.55 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 58c | 3,289$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.26 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…122ebacked Spurs | 51c | 3,197$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…3220backed Spurs | 51c | 2,976$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…3006backed Thunder | 49c | 2,956$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…2300backed Thunder | 49c | 2,925$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…950fbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,846$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…ddb0backed Thunder | 49c | 2,819$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…ee6fbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,772$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6d14backed Spurs | 51c | 2,684$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…aa3dbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,654$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a5…cd7dbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,574$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d51…ca83backed Spurs | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Thunder | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbc…5a2dbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,497$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 80c | 2,068$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 47c | 1,935$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.46 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Thunder | 41c | 1,507$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,083$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.61 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 48c | 1,015$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Thunder | 35c | 960$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Spurs | 52c | 958.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.37 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 697.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Spurs | 53c | 600.89$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder | 24c | 522.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…941dbacked Thunder | 22c | 518.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Thunder | 42c | 514.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Thunder | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs | 55c | 483.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Thunder | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 47c | 403.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Spurs | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 76c | 372.48$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 71c | 337$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb9…2b21backed Thunder | 43c | 318.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Thunder | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Spurs | 60c | 299.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 60c | 278.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Spurs | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Spurs | 58c | 222.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Thunder | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Thunder | 43c | 192.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Thunder | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 77c | 154.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Thunder | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spurs | 77c | 110.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Thunder | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Thunder | 46c | 100.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spurs | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Thunder | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Spurs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked Thunder | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Thunder | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Thunder | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Thunder | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Thunder | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Spurs | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Spurs | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 29c | 66.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Thunder | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 47c | 60.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Spurs | 78c | 60.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41db…392bbacked Thunder | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Thunder | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…3b3ebacked Thunder | 47c | 53.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Spurs | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…76ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thunder | 47c | 44.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Thunder | 46c | 43.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…20eabacked Thunder | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Spurs | 75c | 39.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Spurs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Spurs | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Spurs | 78c | 33.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Spurs | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Spurs | 59c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…f22dbacked Thunder | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Spurs | 58c | 27.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Spurs | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Thunder | 48c | 26.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…a5bbbacked Thunder | 49c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…94f2backed Thunder | 49c | 25.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Thunder | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.