Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674027b87e5eb414494aa8e3d981969d0d1e4cd7ae8c7b8369c38d724d12760d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,002,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3d7…ac2bbacked Yes | 56c | 417,536$233,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,905.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 46c | 147,347$67,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,567.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 50c | 40,000$19,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,100.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 49c | 34,103$16,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,477.47 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 74c | 32,499$24,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,388.32 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 42c | 26,529$11,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,134.87 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 29c | 17,614$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.67 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 14c | 15,103$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 46c | 15,000$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,113.92 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 32c | 14,962$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.24 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 32c | 14,040$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.47 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 66c | 13,321$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.42 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 11,466$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.79 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 46c | 10,476$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.26 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 29c | 8,903$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.4 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 31c | 7,491$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.07 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 30c | 6,557$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.5 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 60c | 6,334$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.16 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Yes | 32c | 6,292$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.37 | 235 | 9.4%22 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 32c | 6,284$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.41 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 74c | 5,945$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.09 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…1662backed Yes | 35c | 5,412$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.77 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 59c | 4,626$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.54 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 4,345$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.99 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…bafebacked Yes | 30c | 4,025$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked No | 48c | 3,874$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.77 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…41cebacked No | 58c | 3,589$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 28c | 3,470$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.82 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…0dd2backed Yes | 34c | 3,405$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.08 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 54c | 3,350$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.98 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed Yes | 26c | 3,113$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…c6f8backed Yes | 41c | 3,043$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.78 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…e958backed No | 62c | 2,879$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.62 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 32c | 2,737$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.76 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 39c | 2,652$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.03 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…0957backed No | 55c | 2,544$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 2,533$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.21 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 25c | 2,506$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.87 | 124 | 9.7%12 W · 112 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 30c | 2,429$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.89 | 187 | 22.5%42 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0451…db79backed Yes | 48c | 2,222$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 71c | 2,182$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.03 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 64c | 2,147$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.41 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…86dcbacked No | 78c | 2,095$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.55 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked No | 46c | 2,065$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.12 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 54c | 2,055$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.73 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 35c | 1,999$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.61 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 21c | 1,988$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.3 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 38c | 1,946$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.36 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…8808backed Yes | 56c | 1,789$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 25c | 1,723$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.67 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 28c | 1,680$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5190…6c17backed No | 41c | 1,658$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.52 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…7302backed Yes | 74c | 1,590$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…d12cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,575$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.13 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…9218backed No | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 13c | 1,540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,390$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.2 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3b…43d5backed Yes | 34c | 1,371$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.85 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…6abbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,306$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked No | 62c | 1,292$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…46e1backed Yes | 47c | 1,265$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,255$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.68 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes | 28c | 1,217$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed Yes | 34c | 1,148$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…0c3ebacked No | 34c | 1,130$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.01 | 108 | 18.5%20 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…94cabacked No | 65c | 1,124$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.71 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…11ddbacked Yes | 15c | 1,122$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…d945backed Yes | 18c | 1,120$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 42c | 1,104$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.22 | 174 | 34.5%60 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…6a71backed Yes | 27c | 1,103$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 52c | 1,100$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…a519backed Yes | 34c | 1,094$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…c654backed Yes | 47c | 1,071$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 53c | 1,067$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 22c | 1,059$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 56c | 1,053$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…2132backed No | 76c | 1,046$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 23c | 1,040$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 55c | 1,032$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.36 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e91…7e8bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,031$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,013$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…8fd9backed Yes | 22c | 993.48$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes | 46c | 983.95$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.11 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 61c | 964.68$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.72 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…8b8fbacked No | 49c | 961.4$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.41 | 94 | 16%15 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 935.63$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.84 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 37c | 931.16$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.39 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed No | 74c | 930.82$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.01 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Yes | 11c | 910.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Yes | 29c | 878.2$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…c991backed Yes | 28c | 849.75$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 161 | 24.2%39 W · 122 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 38c | 847.82$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.17 | 84 | 23.8%20 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…aebebacked Yes | 45c | 843.36$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.12 | 131 | 21.4%28 W · 103 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 46c | 842.64$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.93 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 832$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.