NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027a1ef1242da27a6b8bfcc3d090cd39960814a699083dced6b53c3da7a0cc50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 47c | 68,846$32,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,276.6 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 53c | 55,144$29,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,005.74 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 9,504$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 49c | 7,798$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.13 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 7,173$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 56c | 6,929$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.78 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 4,449$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 3,738$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 58c | 2,503$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 2,354$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 2,344$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,953$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,864$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 64c | 1,490$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.59 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,476$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,300$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 1,243$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.59 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 55c | 1,223$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 1,183$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.19 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 53c | 1,061$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 56c | 700.85$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 661.56$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Over | 5c | 649.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 596.26$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 588.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 45c | 442.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 17c | 382.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.09 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 378.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 31c | 260.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…9d7dbacked Over | 53c | 260.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 222.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7955backed Over | 50c | 176.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 42c | 169.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 150.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 54c | 124.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 91.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 55c | 88.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 65.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 52c | 59.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 56c | 53.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 20c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 53c | 47.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Under | 47c | 40.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…91ddbacked Under | 48c | 40.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 38.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 38.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 53c | 37.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…a17cbacked Over | 56c | 34.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 44c | 29.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 48c | 28.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…83ddbacked Under | 45c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 59c | 22.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 55c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jazz vs. HawksHawks won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.