TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over60c18,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under40c15,627$6,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,376.0919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c3,566$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.212,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4516…b044backed Under44c2,745$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under41c2,728$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.8883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c2,487$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.252,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcc…bb13backed Under44c2,352$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c2,300$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b10…5ab9backed Under44c2,012$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…c62abacked Under44c1,953$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785e…970ebacked Under43c1,877$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c3…b16ebacked Under43c1,856$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…4511backed Over56c1,852$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…0041backed Over56c1,852$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8822…f139backed Over56c1,844$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…f5e3backed Over56c1,825$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f46…8955backed Over57c1,766$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bda…c646backed Over57c1,758$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb438…0998backed Under43c1,756$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9f…07d6backed Under44c1,756$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaa…b21fbacked Under44c1,756$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…1e06backed Under44c1,745$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabaa…7062backed Over56c1,744$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44f…2581backed Over57c1,744$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under6c1,738$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.5129810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97a8…0d8dbacked Over57c1,655$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420f…5009backed Over56c1,652$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c3…d00bbacked Under44c1,652$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ed…c69dbacked Over56c1,625$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced3…180bbacked Under43c1,564$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae77…e9bdbacked Under44c1,563$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6973…67b6backed Over57c1,530$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd626…cb68backed Under44c1,452$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc902…aec9backed Over56c1,432$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c8…d76bbacked Over56c1,423$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5806…3f05backed Over56c1,352$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcb…6a3fbacked Under43c1,352$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ed…7772backed Over56c1,322$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa532…0117backed Under43c1,305$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over61c1,298$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.822560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dcb…8e71backed Over57c1,255$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd023…f7a0backed Over56c1,222$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under50c999.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9616550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c827.86$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9b…ede7backed Under44c827$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under45c810$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c752$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over60c721$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.69350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf17d…ca32backed Over56c668$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under44c630$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Under44c495$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.153435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Under45c405$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7523256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over54c370.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Over8c349.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5270%0 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Over50c322.19$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c314.79$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c253.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under48c249.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over61c228.12$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.833,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c220.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.331,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10248054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c162.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over50c147.21$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.983,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under51c136.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7114557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under40c123$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under43c108.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over54c103.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under47c102.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5141354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7935352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over54c74.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under43c59.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under46c54.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c46.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over60c43.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2940849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c36.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.061,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over62c34.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under45c32.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under54c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4530840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over52c27.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5235049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over53c27.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7633653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x335d…ce5fbacked Under52c27.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9610838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2571245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under52c21.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.419051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over56c20.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd50…b4b3backed Over74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.