TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c55,269$28,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,081.9116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Over51c29,942$15,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,233.79350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over53c20,023$10,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,612.1224549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c18,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,359.9854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c14,000$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c12,846$6,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,223.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c12,103$6,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,073.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c10,581$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c10,389$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,411.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Over49c8,402$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1175154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c7,362$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.971,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c6,593$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.362,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c6,335$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.082,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c5,500$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9151,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over47c5,462$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.883,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under51c4,684$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.7719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under51c4,386$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.3556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fb…dac5backed Under51c4,293$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88fb…e150backed Over49c4,252$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eaa…887abacked Over49c4,243$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Over49c4,200$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05812547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c3,997$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.2744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcde…991fbacked Under51c3,981$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over53c3,458$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.5938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under49c3,184$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.845858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c3,074$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.741,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c2,968$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.0571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over49c2,679$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.618241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,646$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c2,192$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c2,109$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.412,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,701$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c1,217$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.032,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c994.05$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over49c918.37$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under52c512.88$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.188344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under52c479.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.425347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c456.35$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c421.85$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Under53c414.47$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.810156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c396.83$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.33,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c299$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Under52c290.94$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.654839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under51c274$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over51c252.11$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.41,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c244.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.892,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Under54c224.11$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.092661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3411048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3707…bcafbacked Under51c221$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under52c207$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.363946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Under51c201.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8816740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under52c198.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.72,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3114252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under52c170.17$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.687846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c157.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8572250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under42c149.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8765649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under52c136.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.420149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over52c131.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under52c121.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2511755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c118.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4563447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under52c104.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1612752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over52c98.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.421,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56d…5c46backed Under50c98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under52c94.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2511752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8212541.6%52 W · 73 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under52c91.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.19753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under48c89.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under51c88.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.525942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Under52c86.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.377650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c80.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under52c78.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.558653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb122…8405backed Under52c75.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.375040%20 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c73.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.191,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Under52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.314652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under47c62.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3738347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Under51c60.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.729642.7%41 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d3…3296backed Under52c59.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.495437%20 W · 34 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xec97…a32ebacked Under52c58.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2478…52d7backed Under52c58.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.872263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…8edbbacked Under52c50.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.435641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522e…02e7backed Under52c50.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.384643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6b…7e84backed Under52c50.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.25541.8%23 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2443246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…f773backed Under52c46.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.473754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b7…e0e4backed Under52c46.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.265137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Under52c44.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.535846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.