TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Hawks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks47c22,945$10,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,875.431,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hawks48c10,528$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,053.441,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Hawks50c10,004$4,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95511351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz50c5,941$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.2576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz50c5,666$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Hawks50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Hawks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.846145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Jazz53c4,981$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.1324450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jazz50c4,740$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…af59backed Hawks50c4,312$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1561457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jazz51c3,980$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.4117554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Jazz54c3,560$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hawks50c3,432$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.136351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks49c3,411$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz51c3,332$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Jazz53c2,019$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.869043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jazz54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8541954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Jazz52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz52c1,143$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz52c1,130$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Jazz50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks50c981.86$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.362,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz51c911$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks18c610$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz51c484.21$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.443,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Jazz54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hawks51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20466645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks50c367.14$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.574,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz51c323.81$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Jazz50c311$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.511,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef68…5733backed Hawks49c304.08$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Jazz51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Jazz52c285.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7715052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks49c244.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…6f00backed Hawks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz70c211.62$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Hawks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Jazz52c199.64$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Jazz51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz51c193.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Hawks47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Hawks49c157.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776741.8%28 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Jazz51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.868043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Jazz54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8938050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hawks52c115.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Hawks46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Jazz53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Jazz53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jazz54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5966153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Hawks50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.525951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.161,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hawks50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4263447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Jazz53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4711651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Jazz55c73.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.052560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jazz50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Jazz54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8116345.4%74 W · 89 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Jazz50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3238252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Jazz54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Hawks51c58.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.739150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Jazz55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5513738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.223,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Hawks49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Jazz49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Hawks51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Hawks41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz50c43.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8848451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Jazz54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0437852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Jazz53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4541048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hawks50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1647045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Hawks47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Hawks51c31.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bd…6504backed Hawks50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Jazz51c28.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8633653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Jazz53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Jazz50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Jazz58c27.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.338440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Jazz52c22.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8931155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Jazz51c21.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Jazz50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012148.8%59 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Jazz50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Jazz50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc842…21ebbacked Jazz53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.