NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dcafb54d73a9e06264dfcaef541cc92f16a89745cee7bb2d4274edc97d558b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 9,950$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,974.77 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 44c | 9,874$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.12 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 6,108$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…8f16backed Over | 52c | 3,745$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 3,681$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 52c | 3,600$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.19 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…697bbacked Under | 48c | 3,541$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6370…f825backed Over | 52c | 3,452$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…edc9backed Under | 48c | 3,354$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…8061backed Under | 48c | 3,325$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…262dbacked Under | 48c | 3,254$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…acb6backed Under | 48c | 3,021$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3c…7583backed Over | 52c | 3,014$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…e4dcbacked Over | 52c | 2,952$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…f63ebacked Over | 52c | 2,866$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf036…59c1backed Over | 52c | 2,864$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 2,704$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.79 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…1217backed Under | 48c | 2,398$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 56c | 2,368$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 2,090$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.79 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,642$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.58 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,180$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 58c | 933.61$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.49 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 932.14$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 845.71$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 742.86$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 49c | 580$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.7 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 275.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.73 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 260.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Over | 54c | 248.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 49c | 153.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 109.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 67.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 53c | 50.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 53c | 44.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Under | 47c | 29.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 56c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 53c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 55c | 18.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jazz vs. HawksHawks won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5Under won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.