TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Hawks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz55c12,633$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,632.8776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz54c6,857$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.3745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Hawks46c6,750$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1055036%18 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks22c6,548$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks45c5,409$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks46c4,780$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19931644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd978…f4b0backed Hawks46c3,800$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hawks44c3,664$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.992,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks47c3,216$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.731,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hawks48c2,943$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks45c2,083$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hawks46c2,003$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.851,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb1…8ec3backed Jazz54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Jazz54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Jazz53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7917241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…2a55backed Jazz54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b07…b965backed Hawks46c1,756$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d4…9428backed Jazz54c1,744$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…1e06backed Hawks46c1,573$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc902…aec9backed Jazz54c1,555$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaa…b21fbacked Hawks46c1,548$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c8…d76bbacked Hawks46c1,546$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ed…7772backed Jazz54c1,544$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd023…f7a0backed Jazz54c1,536$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ed…c69dbacked Jazz54c1,534$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcc…bb13backed Hawks46c1,523$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c3…d00bbacked Jazz54c1,522$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf17d…ca32backed Jazz54c1,514$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…f5e3backed Hawks46c1,513$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b10…5ab9backed Hawks46c1,502$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03e…5e6dbacked Hawks46c1,452$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7266…6bc4backed Hawks46c1,432$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hawks44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c84…e623backed Hawks46c1,322$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2372…48a6backed Hawks46c1,315$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ac…1fe2backed Jazz54c1,311$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz55c1,295$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.462,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3592…580dbacked Jazz54c1,152$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Hawks48c1,148$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Jazz53c1,118$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.3441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Jazz54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks45c990.64$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Jazz55c960.96$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.062560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Jazz56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8627158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…081abacked Jazz54c866$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3411…c9ffbacked Jazz54c856$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f73…7d69backed Jazz54c756$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a6…6406backed Jazz54c602$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Hawks46c554$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9926034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Jazz54c512.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9612051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks43c500.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.673,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hawks46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Jazz56c420$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.815849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Hawks46c370$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.21,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jazz58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Hawks45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Jazz55c290.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9121743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz55c290.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9123847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks46c260.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jazz55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks44c239.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a61…7017backed Jazz65c230.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hawks32c223.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3847045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Jazz54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2213050.8%66 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Jazz76c214.03$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0319050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz68c212.47$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Jazz58c212.32$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.321,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Jazz58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Jazz54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1961056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz56c183.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.763142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8281845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Hawks13c174.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.624330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fd…1852backed Jazz59c169.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.951450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Jazz53c162$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.731,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Hawks43c156.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2919647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Jazz64c145.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9850651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Jazz54c139.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz55c135$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.751,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz57c133.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Jazz54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6323143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Hawks21c129.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Hawks45c127.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2720149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Hawks10c123.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7630616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Jazz58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6961957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz51c118.07$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Hawks44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.422,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Jazz54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4630836%111 W · 197 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz67c95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Hawks46c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.88856.8%50 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Jazz58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks46c85.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.283,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Jazz55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.521,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Jazz70c79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Jazz58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.433360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…c64abacked Jazz56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Jazz56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575869%40 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Hawks46c48.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Jazz56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.126241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Jazz55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4519940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.