TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Jazz, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,922,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,006,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,922,074 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz26c276,031$71,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,427.7751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Hawks74c135,135$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,135.099350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz28c117,000$32,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,569.9748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks74c115,004$85,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,901.131,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa41…a7a1backed Jazz27c77,759$20,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,994.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz19c63,866$12,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,213.081,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz27c61,764$16,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,612.631,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks73c54,373$39,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,540.071,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz24c49,557$11,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,720.1828742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz23c42,670$9,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,805.2627424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Hawks73c37,500$27,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,12511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Hawks73c33,622$24,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,077.8223257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks48c30,400$14,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,890.75,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Hawks73c30,000$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz25c22,737$5,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,656.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks66c22,598$14,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,667.8522458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks75c22,536$16,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,662.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hawks55c20,257$11,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,184.8934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks74c20,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Jazz8c20,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks75c19,574$14,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,947.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawks55c18,125$9,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,220.6948956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Hawks74c18,000$13,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,68054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Hawks77c17,000$13,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,91013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9575…e916backed Jazz23c17,000$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Hawks77c16,743$12,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.8914663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks74c16,365$12,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,261.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hawks75c15,209$11,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.3320948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Hawks77c15,200$11,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Jazz26c15,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz26c15,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Hawks76c15,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks75c14,859$11,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Jazz46c14,105$6,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,557.6438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz30c13,284$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.5581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz38c12,215$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Jazz34c11,400$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.19336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks77c10,855$8,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.6544352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Jazz37c10,782$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.4219136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Hawks74c10,729$7,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.5430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz24c10,635$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz24c10,173$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.2546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz23c10,052$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.941,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Hawks75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz26c9,842$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.8159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Hawks54c9,716$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.6215349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz35c9,452$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,337.0561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks58c9,006$5,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks62c8,761$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz25c8,058$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.631445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Hawks80c8,013$6,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.831346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hawks75c7,764$5,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz26c7,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Jazz23c7,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61010035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Hawks77c7,000$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.999758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Jazz55c6,907$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.675837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd7…3d25backed Hawks76c6,400$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.992065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Hawks73c6,223$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.158961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks67c6,200$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz33c6,143$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.571,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz50c6,083$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.7789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Hawks67c5,777$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.5715247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Jazz33c5,776$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.0814243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz26c5,724$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.241,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks78c5,645$4,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.551,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz33c5,618$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.712,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Hawks75c5,572$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.838543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x953c…1aacbacked Jazz5c5,390$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.812339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz18c5,329$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.631,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz43c5,223$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.671,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz35c5,201$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Jazz23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1509054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Hawks77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1508640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hawks67c4,941$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.757869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbabe…f584backed Jazz23c4,900$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebf…82d5backed Hawks77c4,900$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1273551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks74c4,768$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.5772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Hawks78c4,670$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Hawks74c4,501$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.3124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hawks67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.611,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…db04backed Hawks45c4,457$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.653056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Hawks77c4,360$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Hawks76c4,110$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.421440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Jazz27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0809117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d97…16f1backed Hawks77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9203100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Hawks74c3,769$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9416370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz30c3,678$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.431,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Hawks77c3,655$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.6911361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Hawks73c3,500$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9459260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d44…c0ffbacked Hawks74c3,500$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ae…2af1backed Jazz26c3,500$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13c…6b2fbacked Hawks77c3,401$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.231957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddd…f58dbacked Jazz23c3,397$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.311764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Jazz50c3,386$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.599640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks74c3,288$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks71c3,193$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.