Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ae0b3ce0af14431a45ce7f36f7f07f5ea0fc8a0fa8051a9ed61db5ceeb79c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,280,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,280,466 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 72c | 6,117,727$4,429,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688,223.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 27c | 975,812$265,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,412.36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 28c | 690,586$189,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,982.62 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 28c | 550,000$152,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,499.99 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 28c | 540,516$150,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,951.2 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 70c | 494,724$346,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,947.94 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 71c | 437,486$310,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,273.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 352,000$103,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,279.96 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 29c | 325,100$95,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,414.97 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 27c | 320,098$86,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,426.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 29c | 267,345$76,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,223.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 29c | 243,438$70,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,015.35 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 228,034$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,000.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 29c | 150,235$43,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,824 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 29c | 128,070$37,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,140.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 120,239$34,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,575.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 29c | 119,947$35,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,104 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 117,219$34,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,226.51 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 70c | 108,603$75,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,644.02 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 28c | 105,655$29,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,583.31 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 28c | 100,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,999.98 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 29c | 96,514$27,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,974.86 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Yes | 71c | 92,094$65,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,707.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 28c | 83,357$23,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,340 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 71c | 79,222$56,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,757.76 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 28c | 71,500$20,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,019.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 29c | 70,412$20,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,565.52 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 70,100$20,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,598.62 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 29c | 62,378$18,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,074.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 29c | 60,681$17,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,804.21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 29c | 56,800$16,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,472 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 27c | 47,500$12,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,974.99 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 28c | 45,000$12,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,450 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Yes | 71c | 44,800$31,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,924.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 30c | 44,000$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 28c | 42,305$11,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,845.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 29c | 37,750$10,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,889.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 29c | 35,661$10,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,495.74 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 35,525$10,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,657.47 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 71c | 33,000$23,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,669.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 28c | 30,221$8,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,462 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 71c | 29,975$21,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,817.21 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 66c | 29,914$19,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,170.74 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 29c | 28,114$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,156.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 28c | 27,001$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.39 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 39c | 26,250$10,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,137.64 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 28c | 25,900$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.98 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 71c | 25,505$18,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,396.46 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 25,373$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 29c | 25,212$7,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,218.84 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 29c | 21,029$6,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 69c | 20,481$14,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.69 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 20,330$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 28c | 20,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…0501backed No | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 28c | 20,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 28c | 18,888$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.22 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 30c | 18,755$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.59 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 29c | 17,608$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.92 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 31c | 17,374$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.94 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 17,045$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,244.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 71c | 17,000$12,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 30c | 16,281$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.24 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 28c | 14,047$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…c0f5backed No | 0c | 13,780$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 73c | 13,761$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.24 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 71c | 13,505$9,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.75 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 40c | 12,607$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.67 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 30c | 12,046$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 28c | 12,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed No | 27c | 12,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 30c | 12,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.91 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 31c | 11,866$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.53 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 30c | 11,520$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.05 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 28c | 11,071$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 29c | 11,045$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.05 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 39c | 10,821$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 30c | 10,638$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 27c | 10,460$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.01 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 9,980$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.7 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 71c | 9,975$7,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.68 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 9,752$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 30c | 9,698$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.23 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 27c | 9,395$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked No | 30c | 8,733$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 29c | 8,520$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 52c | 8,303$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.39 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 28c | 7,900$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 70c | 7,836$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.86 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 52c | 7,758$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 70c | 7,558$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.23 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 7,474$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.22 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 27c | 7,400$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 28c | 7,200$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.