Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53450d7fc869651d0cffe13247ceeaf10a66cfedc754f2d108a94bdef5fec41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,194 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 35,490$14,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,277.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 17,860$14,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 15,578$9,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 10,071$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.35 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 19c | 7,812$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.36 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 80c | 7,486$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 7,251$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 5,362$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.3 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 5,302$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.37 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 36c | 4,000$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.6 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 3,700$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 20c | 2,874$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,659$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…5946backed Yes | 78c | 2,580$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 80c | 2,557$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.4 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes | 19c | 2,501$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.23 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 37c | 2,297$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 2,248$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.07 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 21c | 1,893$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 80c | 1,859$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.86 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,851$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.2 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.99 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 1,623$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.23 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…8529backed Yes | 60c | 1,604$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,510$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 20c | 1,490$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 25c | 1,316$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.84 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 44c | 1,265$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.17 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,160$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 1,057$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.66 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 20c | 935$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…256cbacked Yes | 74c | 762.21$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Yes | 33c | 611.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 599.97$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 575.59$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.15 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes | 54c | 573.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 567$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 549.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 548.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 19c | 510.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 509.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 20c | 482.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 21c | 478$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 25c | 470.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 66c | 452.87$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…21f8backed Yes | 21c | 438.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…40babacked Yes | 20c | 413.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Yes | 23c | 408.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…2521backed Yes | 64c | 391.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 20c | 385$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 366.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Yes | 48c | 354.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 61c | 348.17$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.83 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…314dbacked Yes | 20c | 346.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…1e41backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 20c | 324$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 34c | 322.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 38c | 321.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Yes | 73c | 306.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…5dc8backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 269.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…7738backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 7c | 237.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…2d40backed No | 46c | 224$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 22c | 223.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 21c | 219.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 19c | 212.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 28c | 209.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…2338backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 48c | 191.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 80c | 187.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ae34backed Yes | 20c | 185.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Yes | 10c | 182.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…cd36backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 64c | 180.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 20c | 171.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Yes | 61c | 164.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.