TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x295d…5dc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$1,966.86
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$321
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.95
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$81.11
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.68
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.79
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$146.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$117.37
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.26
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$257.01
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$73.52
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$69.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$86.63
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$44.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$88.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$27.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$76.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$66.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.