TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,523,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,842,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,523,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c221,696$57,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,791.038,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c167,865$106,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,438.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0e…a019backed Yes12c166,742$19,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,222.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+93.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes10c128,796$12,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,91633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No72c124,668$90,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,356.561,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c118,422$93,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,161.752,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes10c100,000$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,997.71216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c53,493$27,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,375.1379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c46,900$25,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,339.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes41c45,891$18,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,007.8118047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No75c39,803$29,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,714.4824441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No38c35,627$13,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,426.281,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No57c30,109$17,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,221.6921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes12c29,450$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,937.2544524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No40c28,852$11,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,504.5738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes11c27,273$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,272.737133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c24,629$6,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,664.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Yes10c23,319$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,987.083721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes30c21,853$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,352.5116957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes10c21,830$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,646.8714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes60c21,723$13,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,624.1531945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes11c20,200$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,9784829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No50c18,028$9,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,087.736939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Yes11c17,545$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,645.456111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No59c15,000$8,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,804.1514542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes43c13,068$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,388.1865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c5…23bcbacked Yes11c10,912$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,762.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+176.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes10c10,890$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8018133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Yes37c10,254$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,462.85967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…7a6dbacked Yes9c10,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,100825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c9,959$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes11c9,545$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,495.452835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes11c9,091$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,090.9132429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes17c8,593$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,093.275320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes42c8,416$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.4227239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Yes62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.523554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes10c8,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2002045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…2b56backed Yes10c8,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2009239.1%36 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…d6e2backed Yes13c7,692$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,692.31825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+87.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7585…8514backed Yes11c7,528$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,700.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cc…be4ebacked No74c7,400$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes11c7,393$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,580.098518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes77c7,307$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.847346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes10c7,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30014425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed Yes61c6,982$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.983452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes54c6,880$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.1936634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes52c6,791$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.1838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes45c6,422$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,532.725123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes12c6,152$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,426.9673626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes16c6,080$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.9910932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Yes52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.232751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…9b53backed Yes41c5,210$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.189034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ee…f4dfbacked Yes60c5,157$3,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.932433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4d…8b35backed Yes9c5,066$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.173250%16 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50011640.5%47 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes10c5,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No42c4,901$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.3142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes76c4,732$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.8411249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No80c4,729$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.62,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes11c4,545$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.4523353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.454129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce0…3125backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.452528%7 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.455257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes68c4,505$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.2956410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd380…0700backed Yes13c4,308$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.722917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes76c3,787$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.1145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes30c3,709$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.6422846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes9c3,700$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3675422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Yes11c3,500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+88.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes11c3,479$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.238723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes11c3,427$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.2736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes67c3,420$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.0619938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedcb…54b1backed Yes30c3,343$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.1410050%50 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes24c3,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.339645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…cb34backed Yes54c3,327$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.677740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x190e…b11abacked Yes40c3,077$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.491266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes51c3,064$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.3414030.7%43 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed Yes11c3,058$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.865135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes13c2,973$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c2,785$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.85952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Yes52c2,767$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.4417751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c5…fffebacked Yes11c2,764$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.1210426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes45c2,686$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.920649.5%102 W · 104 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e87…da91backed Yes11c2,602$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.542347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d7…9f67backed Yes12c2,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes23c2,491$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.1713237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No58c2,418$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.131,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Yes10c2,400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No62c2,360$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.5858926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Yes22c2,272$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.413164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…fd49backed Yes11c2,252$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.8628533%94 W · 191 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ba…fa03backed Yes9c2,222$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.222931%9 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c2,174$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.1217569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No75c2,165$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.3137644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…6a15backed Yes37c2,154$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.053938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Yes36c2,093$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.8911132.4%36 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.