TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,118,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,302,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,118,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c542,612$350,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350,557.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No15c375,036$56,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318,780.8433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No20c273,062$53,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219,585.0874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No31c217,000$67,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,724.7515456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No14c201,819$27,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,977.1229952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No55c161,868$89,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,84115844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes60c145,993$87,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,582.0614542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked No21c115,438$23,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,568.273246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No37c112,277$41,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,278.882,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No16c99,999$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,999.2922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed No26c96,811$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,811.1117840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes74c87,527$64,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,673.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No24c86,228$20,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,75556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed No33c85,518$27,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,518.92661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No25c75,046$18,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,192.891,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes51c64,017$32,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,7794667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes58c63,437$36,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,859.9877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No52c60,252$31,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,003.4431945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c59,665$28,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,458.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes55c59,438$32,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,878.8124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No25c56,714$14,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,467.3942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No34c55,165$18,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,670.032,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes64c50,379$32,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,151.0579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes30c43,742$13,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,123.7836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b76…0c37backed No12c41,099$4,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,166.751717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No31c34,090$10,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,521.9685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes43c33,893$14,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,732.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No43c33,418$14,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,113.421738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes74c30,912$22,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,816.154663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No16c28,388$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,845.821444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes43c25,844$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,111.0638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No12c24,999$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.21529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked No13c23,999$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,879.272133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+78.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No55c22,218$12,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,887.8842043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes68c21,122$14,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,431.3523540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked No17c20,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,60013933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes48c17,500$8,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,474.989742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No12c15,799$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,857.1312752%66 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes69c15,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,35022639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes58c14,607$8,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,493.9465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes66c14,500$9,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,634.9826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes56c14,392$8,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,092.6314542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No56c14,378$8,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,321.0333337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked No16c14,007$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,707.3514428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ad…7e0dbacked No14c13,667$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,753.682412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No15c13,455$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,436.5714732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed No16c12,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No19c12,499$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,124.196645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes56c12,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7208845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes57c11,983$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,830.3664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No16c10,331$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,646.5293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50017642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed No43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No16c10,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No12c9,999$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.2818843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes57c9,999$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.4332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes69c9,804$6,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,755.1239933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No21c8,862$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,973.3943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…cb34backed Yes70c8,685$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1007740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes52c8,654$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec4c…fb48backed No16c8,435$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,085.513938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed No12c8,310$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,312.796624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No14c8,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,88036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No15c8,000$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,763.8744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Yes39c7,734$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.6527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c7,634$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.0545039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Yes56c7,256$4,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.2310355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Yes70c7,244$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1013138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3a…8d3fbacked No15c7,077$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,993.323540%14 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No38c7,066$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.2175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes52c6,776$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.1711249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No12c6,718$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.1933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes46c6,706$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No16c6,562$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,512.445635.7%20 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3e…2a9ebacked Yes57c6,316$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9810548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No42c6,006$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.2121946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Yes56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3607337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No75c5,946$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.9225821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed No15c5,526$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.5817414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes79c5,500$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes56c5,401$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.7918438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked No14c5,357$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,607.147541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed No15c5,127$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked No13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.026536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Yes56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.997538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed No16c5,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9718837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.9724635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f6…400bbacked Yes1c4,997$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.972934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2332…3fc5backed Yes66c4,779$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.1811741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c4,744$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.442,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No16c4,717$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.287343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No35c4,707$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.6920856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No30c4,683$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.4116833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed No16c4,567$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.475322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No44c4,509$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.2153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No13c4,487$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,904.051816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No14c4,301$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,687.7333549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f26…0efcbacked No16c4,212$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.431833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes66c4,041$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.6311637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.