La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ae81c7ec8c23022c93b062f79c32181f3b6d8eca8866574f5116c40c0142a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 17c | 136,058$23,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,762 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…e613backed Yes | 0c | 8,639$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 7,038$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.8 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 5,475$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.53 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 11c | 5,264$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.02 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 11c | 4,638$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,339$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,954$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.82 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 11c | 2,160$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 7c | 2,157$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…915ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,123$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 11c | 863.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 11c | 829.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 4c | 728.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 16c | 693$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…7e6ebacked Yes | 9c | 613.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 481.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed Yes | 17c | 475.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 14c | 427.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 13c | 398.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 11c | 395.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 12c | 267.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 13c | 223.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Yes | 17c | 218.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 10c | 180.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 16c | 178.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…2d87backed Yes | 11c | 176.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 12c | 165.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +475.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…d600backed Yes | 12c | 157.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 156.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 11c | 128.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…5dc8backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 10c | 118.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…9a46backed Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 10c | 108.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 16c | 108.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Yes | 11c | 105.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 13c | 101.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 17c | 100.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…086dbacked Yes | 14c | 97.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.