La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8c6f547af6e980a112b19a7fa4be1513c265193819a1a7e1c08ebd3e340be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 37,699$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 23,410$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.37 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 16,207$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.3 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 11c | 15,786$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.78 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 15,287$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.34 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 11,907$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.66 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 7,866$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.28 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 8c | 7,468$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.11 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 6,224$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.47 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 5,713$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.98 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 9c | 5,036$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 4,330$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,976$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.33 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 3,616$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,365$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 9c | 2,306$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 2c | 1,652$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…6a05backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 5c | 1,217$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 5c | 1,217$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,174$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 5c | 1,170$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,011$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,003$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 11c | 856.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…aecdbacked Yes | 12c | 795.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…c4cabacked Yes | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 11c | 778.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 8c | 666.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 10c | 654.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 8c | 650.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 5c | 580.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…d600backed Yes | 5c | 580.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 2c | 568.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 2c | 556.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 552.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 2c | 523.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 515.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 2c | 514.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 2c | 508.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 2c | 505.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…0eccbacked Yes | 4c | 494.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Yes | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 6c | 452.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Yes | 11c | 398.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…c436backed Yes | 12c | 393.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 9c | 382.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 11c | 318.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 3c | 310.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 10c | 300.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a7…ce6abacked Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 11c | 222.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…c085backed Yes | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 8c | 177.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 12c | 174.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed Yes | 11c | 141.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 15c | 112.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 12c | 102.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…0f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…bacabacked Yes | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.