TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef27…381bbacked No64c31,408$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No17c20,954$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,472.0976842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes36c11,484$4,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,348.7638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c10,659$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.046,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes37c10,459$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,598.8513353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2005145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.9913348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c9,801$6,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,007.271,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c9,394$3,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.234,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c8,748$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.382,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c8,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88067042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes80c7,286$5,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.797945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c6,203$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes36c5,883$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.1116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes71c5,326$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c3,956$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.6890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c3,764$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.6553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes80c3,237$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.3210144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes38c3,099$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+88.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8303650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes38c2,994$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c2,928$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.0756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c2,150$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2805942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes75c1,893$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.473070%21 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No24c1,879$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked No33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No24c1,439$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.457829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed No64c1,394$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes62c1,326$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.551752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…2a8cbacked Yes55c1,264$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No24c1,092$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No64c1,087$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.6810765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c1,086$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.4140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes37c1,045$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.3455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes78c1,028$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8715470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24042043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Yes34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c959.98$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.3941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked No63c886.15$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes68c875.75$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes56c862.5$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.52951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked No64c851.75$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Yes36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes38c810.52$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.525543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes72c754.9$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.91060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No19c692.81$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes36c685$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.44862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked No64c624.02$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed No65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes36c566.05$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2713847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…2f4dbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.56825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked No63c549.64$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.063447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No23c545.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c537.64$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.531,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No64c527.53$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6211149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No16c511.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.819246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No37c501.93$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.047343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes37c472.97$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.974744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No23c472.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.27275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked No65c465.75$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.741952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes80c439.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes38c420$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.423531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2484151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No23c395.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.637129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes37c392.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes38c391.14$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.657427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes39c382.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.285856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No32c379.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.331926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c334.02$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.772,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes77c329.87$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8a…5391backed Yes77c326.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…abcfbacked Yes39c317.04$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed No34c306.05$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.062729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1894557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No61c299.96$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes76c285$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.43330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked No62c283.33$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.731553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c277.64$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.278736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fa…da37backed Yes78c267.86$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes38c264.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1426247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes36c263.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.893043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x392f…7210backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes38c255$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.14852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Yes69c245.47$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes80c205$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed No46c203.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.511973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No63c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610125.7%26 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.