TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes27c7,407$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes26c5,528$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c4,659$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.796,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No74c4,300$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes26c3,800$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No74c3,773$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No73c3,496$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.9690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c1,993$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.292,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c1,963$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c1,600$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43255751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes27c1,243$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.335543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x292a…a7fabacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+215.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c999.98$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No74c820$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes14c810$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.413721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes7c757.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c753.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes26c670.08$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes27c613$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.512352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes25c569.76$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.445726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes15c513.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.964136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes20c512.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4318123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No77c403.76$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.511,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10813554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes27c367.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1116233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c304.52$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes14c299.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.697829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes25c278.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.618352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c260.76$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes26c255.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.524551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No76c249.11$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.797660.5%46 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed No77c245.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.543056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes26c244.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.113246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes18c237.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.021,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No75c222.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.542650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes23c215.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504920.4%10 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4619834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes12c197.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504030%12 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb274…5660backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-75.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No77c178.85$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.428959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c167.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce38…635fbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c156.72$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8980953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes17c153.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9215249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b5…20fcbacked Yes26c152.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c150.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.251,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.514654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88f…3785backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1410971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c132.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c116.32$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5933551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked Yes27c116$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf09…e85abacked Yes25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304734%16 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6711460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes24c99.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.987139.4%28 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c97.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7206…0dcbbacked No75c86.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No75c84.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0936545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No74c79.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.784965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c75.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5901…e11fbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca8…c044backed No75c71.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked No74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No74c66.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.221254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.931,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c55.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.342,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e9…85dbbacked Yes26c51.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No74c50.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes22c46.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.248052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d19…a694backed Yes26c45.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes26c41.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.721250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45860.3%35 W · 23 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick75cpaid-18.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed No74c39.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22763%17 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No73c35.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7135941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No75c35.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8611265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.