TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d19…a694

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10735.5%38 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$26.96
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.07
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.12
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.16
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.2
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$11.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.07
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.85
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.86
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.53
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.13
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.1
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.78
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.91
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.03
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.88
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.19
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.07
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.47
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.91
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.08
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.36
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.43
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.61
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+273.9%+$54.18
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.81
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.75
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$21.92
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$22.94
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$13.25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$13.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.78
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61%+$16.63
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.03
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.86
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$3.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.