MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92df3b3f0170031a7cb3f4ae606a4c8a72fca20e9ac91a21a6b40d6350fc91cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof San Francisco Giants, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 110,618$56,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,415.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 90,000$44,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,900 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 24,998$12,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 16,090$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,970.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 15,467$7,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Francisco Giants | 8c | 13,662$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 10,205$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.55 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 8,146$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 7,594$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 28c | 6,547$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 6,540$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.41 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 5,302$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.47 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 5,253$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.46 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,227$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.77 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 3,637$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.21 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 2,568$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 2,533$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.89 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.93 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 2,146$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,099$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.78 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,512$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 1,410$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.44 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,365$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.15 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,240$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 1,207$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.87 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,171$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.21 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,099$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.65 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,011$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.38 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 940.68$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 837$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.87 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals | 78c | 805$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 763.79$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 736.56$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 721.15$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 711.71$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.09 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 64c | 691.57$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 672.97$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.65 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 593$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 550$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 504.9$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 500.19$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…1fdbbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 462.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.76 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 447.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 441$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 421$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 403.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 388.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 362$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 327.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 324.94$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 315.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 312.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…e348backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 292$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 286.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 274.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 251$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 251$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants | 31c | 230.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 222$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 216.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…775fbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 201.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…ffc0backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 197.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 192.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 185.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 175.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…1f56backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 168$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 151.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 147.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.