MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb4489d8cc3ef8ece099c0f24a79ec6bdbb89351e5363cb9dac721ee258d0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 57c | 199,998$113,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,999.12 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 79,810$34,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,283.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 50,369$22,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,223.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 46,157$19,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,848.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 19,919$10,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,773.36 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.95 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 14,274$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,137.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 9,136$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.76 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 4,796$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.56 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 4,197$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.68 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 3,687$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.37 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 3,009$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.91 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 2,852$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,598$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 43c | 2,187$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.3 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 1,669$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 55c | 1,549$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.25 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.05 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 1,213$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 1,145$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.45 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,020$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 995.28$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 43c | 814$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Over | 28c | 714.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 65c | 620.17$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 43c | 593.44$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.09 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 43c | 588.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 504.3$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 478.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 476.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 468$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 424.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 390$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 51c | 381.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 43c | 346$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Over | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 17c | 265.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 44c | 232.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Under | 56c | 220.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 206.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 57c | 197.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 45c | 156.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 149.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 55c | 144.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 43c | 143.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 24c | 130.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 76c | 130.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 43c | 119.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 47c | 111.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 101.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 43c | 100.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 81.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 44c | 72.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 71.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 43c | 69.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 47c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 44c | 58.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 49c | 51.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 49c | 49.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Over | 28c | 42.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 47c | 40.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 49c | 35.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 56c | 34.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 31c | 34.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Over | 47c | 31.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 44c | 26.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Over | 43c | 26.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.