TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers51c81,798$41,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,395.169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed 76ers44c54,149$23,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,983.913554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Celtics49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.9911333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers51c42,760$21,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,807.381,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers43c40,630$17,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,499.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,60027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics57c40,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,20020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers27c30,614$8,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,190.881,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics49c17,449$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,899.0910949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics77c15,607$11,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed 76ers49c14,500$7,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,105825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked 76ers52c9,338$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8566144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics54c6,905$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Celtics52c6,724$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.3721957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics48c6,258$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.381,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics51c6,200$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,03837539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ab…76e2backed 76ers51c5,789$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics53c4,795$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers51c4,529$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.951,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers23c4,242$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Celtics49c3,549$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.945635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers50c3,305$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.1424252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics48c3,276$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.421,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Celtics49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.1712058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers52c2,967$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.8547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Celtics69c2,856$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.4343269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Celtics53c2,578$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.2264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26be…7239backed 76ers20c2,465$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.732445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked 76ers25c2,380$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers50c2,281$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.2787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed 76ers45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Celtics56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Celtics56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed 76ers44c1,447$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.864434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics55c1,415$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.8740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Celtics80c1,244$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.339950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Celtics56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5287156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Celtics56c1,070$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7726048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked 76ers19c1,057$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8329547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers46c920.03$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers51c840.07$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers51c827.22$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Celtics49c794$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.274434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9957…8c64backed 76ers4c793.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics55c775.12$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed22…d661backed Celtics49c749.15$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.075100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Celtics53c680.26$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7273649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed Celtics57c637.55$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.153345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers45c626.73$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics50c600$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed 76ers49c599.06$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4418438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers29c567.31$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.652,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers48c559.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.591,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Celtics54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Celtics55c530.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8312346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed 76ers53c516.82$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8924247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Celtics57c512.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4827162.4%169 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Celtics52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Celtics49c494.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.244665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1048…06d6backed Celtics58c487.27$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.821471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Celtics57c487.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4510045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Celtics48c484.75$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed 76ers52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2421657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Celtics70c364.23$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.174746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers45c309.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f6…da6bbacked Celtics50c285.18$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.592748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 76ers52c251.3$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6756945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed 76ers51c218.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Celtics55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5716750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics80c185.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics50c183.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.471,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Celtics55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Celtics55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.611833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked 76ers47c175.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.310552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5a…669bbacked Celtics76c171.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed Celtics57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.493256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Celtics62c159.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3151946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 76ers51c149.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Celtics49c142.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.55056%28 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Celtics70c140.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Celtics54c137.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.417052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed 76ers45c127.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4411232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked 76ers52c126.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.677945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Celtics49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4415650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 76ers43c119.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3161151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked 76ers43c119.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed 76ers43c119.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3123445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked 76ers43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed 76ers54c108.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.332035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6607…5bd9backed 76ers44c106.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.779246.7%43 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Celtics49c104.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9515844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Celtics70c104.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed 76ers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Celtics56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.543750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Celtics75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eec…e587backed 76ers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.320855.8%116 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Celtics65c98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.