TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,720 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over70c2,033$1,430 inWon+$603.0736243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over39c1,142$445 inWon+$696.23,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under28c1,128$318 inLost-$317.6326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941e…c622backed Under9c612.81$53 inLost-$53.227960.8%48 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under34c562.63$189 inLost-$188.942,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under29c435.38$127 inLost-$126.572,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2c…17d2backed Under45c434.06$193 inLost-$193.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd58c…b339backed Over72c345.66$249 inWon+$96.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over34c243.9$82 inWon+$161.6545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over45c219.99$99 inWon+$12118850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under38c171.41$65 inLost-$65.2234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c118.48$66 inLost-$65.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under50c72.7$36 inLost-$36.236277.4%48 W · 14 L+13.1wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over34c60$20 inWon+$39.614237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under50c55.94$28 inLost-$28.1116033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under55c53.07$29 inLost-$29.1945542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c50$25 inWon+$25.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c48.53$25 inLost-$24.7589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b7…992ebacked Over42c44$18 inWon+$25.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f06…114ebacked Over53c21.96$12 inWon+$10.291353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under73c19.68$14 inLost-$14.365453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under55c19.46$11 inLost-$10.75858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.