TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,323 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe558…dcd2backed 76ers36c2,060$742 inLost-$741.679349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics64c2,000$1,280 inWon+$72050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed 76ers25c393.18$100 inLost-$100.1420353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked Celtics70c280.57$196 inWon+$84.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers36c248.35$89 inLost-$89.412,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4610…1f21backed 76ers19c248.17$48 inLost-$47.581030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Celtics64c239.69$153 inWon+$86.292857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8670…fe4cbacked 76ers44c166.92$73 inLost-$73.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Celtics66c163.49$108 inWon+$55.593132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics57c156.63$90 inWon+$66.7976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fa1…f5a1backed 76ers35c137.56$48 inLost-$48.15520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd7…758bbacked 76ers21c136.59$29 inLost-$28.581435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Celtics64c129.26$83 inWon+$46.533551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed 76ers44c118.6$52 inLost-$52.193836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Celtics64c99.99$64 inWon+$3636749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics64c65.47$42 inWon+$23.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c6…d3d9backed 76ers36c37.4$13 inLost-$13.463745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Celtics64c33.79$22 inWon+$12.1617553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.