NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd5a4ff9c0dfa20097d4b23b5b5bd034c66ee41e046c2f38bb82e2bb29a5df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 56c | 5,299$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers | 1c | 3,424$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 76ers | 29c | 1,335$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.25 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked 76ers | 5c | 1,010$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed 76ers | 55c | 877.48$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed 76ers | 37c | 744.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers | 55c | 611.53$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.84 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…e91abacked 76ers | 56c | 549.39$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Celtics | 62c | 546.48$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…2763backed 76ers | 42c | 497.3$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 58c | 336.46$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 44c | 314.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd071…b4dabacked Celtics | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics | 79c | 287.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…b339backed 76ers | 27c | 286.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…ea7ebacked 76ers | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 76ers | 38c | 174.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…af68backed 76ers | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed 76ers | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…78adbacked 76ers | 56c | 173.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Celtics | 44c | 156.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 76ers | 54c | 148.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers | 54c | 142.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed 76ers | 39c | 124.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed 76ers | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Celtics | 54c | 93.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Celtics | 73c | 93.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed 76ers | 18c | 91.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Celtics | 48c | 75.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Celtics | 54c | 69.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 76ers | 28c | 69.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Celtics | 46c | 63.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed 76ers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…758bbacked 76ers | 55c | 47.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Celtics | 49c | 46.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed 76ers | 59c | 44.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…aa4fbacked 76ers | 55c | 38.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…5bc3backed 76ers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94f…25f6backed 76ers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Celtics | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed 76ers | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed 76ers | 37c | 29.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Celtics | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Celtics | 64c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 68 | 76.5%52 W · 16 L | +12.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics | 61c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 202.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-23.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.