TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$671,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$710,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c146,818$73,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,521.7932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under50c119,060$59,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,529.9620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under51c79,907$40,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,637.3337627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Under53c39,580$21,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,031.254951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c38,958$19,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,922.0169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under51c29,252$15,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,042.2216547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under72c26,641$19,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,187.821,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under51c20,364$10,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,385.5411137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c18,475$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,893.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c15,271$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,666.8164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c14,161$6,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,015.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c13,766$7,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,480.131,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over49c12,362$6,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,304.7966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c11,756$5,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.2232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c10,747$5,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,373.512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c9,738$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.92,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c8,656$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c8,092$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.2137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a44…9cc6backed Over49c7,952$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under50c7,877$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.6235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over49c7,785$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.1110860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c6,610$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3051,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over50c6,418$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.513540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over43c6,182$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.310239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae4…9789backed Over49c6,132$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.41450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c5,565$2,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.292,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under24c5,421$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.8690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over52c5,014$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.754949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c4,970$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.743348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over50c4,763$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.564951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Under75c4,613$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,446.93855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c4,577$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.4721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under62c4,088$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.3520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.932842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,944$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9403943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c3,870$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.0234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under51c3,809$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.484264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under51c3,615$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.841,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under49c3,501$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.7889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under50c2,924$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.629447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under52c2,914$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.0756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c2,876$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a15…dbacbacked Over49c2,762$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c2,583$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over49c2,222$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.3414940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c2,178$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.4389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c2,085$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.2393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under50c2,037$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.517553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x307f…1b72backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under72c1,993$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.7556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under49c1,985$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.7931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4a…f216backed Over49c1,912$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over50c1,901$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.625641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.211654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over49c1,840$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.421653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over40c1,802$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.8520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under50c1,772$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.779152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under15c1,716$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4617042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c1,688$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.0165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over51c1,573$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.8714854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188e…70d8backed Over49c1,484$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over40c1,472$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.9918844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,467$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over49c1,460$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.3712646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c1,420$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2918444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over50c1,359$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.542254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over50c1,351$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.542254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c1,299$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.481,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Over76c1,297$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2427163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over50c1,242$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.025442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c1,187$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.3827746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over50c1,183$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.76031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over49c1,088$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.938844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Over50c1,006$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.673148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over48c1,000$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6713642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48517247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over50c948.08$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.042653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over37c945.22$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1112540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.65347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over45c880.04$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.151,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c867.87$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.613348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over49c833.68$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.1817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under11c832.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.51,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over49c800.78$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under51c794.2$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c791.35$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.596448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over13c765.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.992,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.247054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under52c709.72$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over49c692.43$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.