TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,108 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon+$8801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over44c1,801$792 inLost-$792.4556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over45c1,638$737 inLost-$737.0950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under55c1,627$891 inWon+$735.782,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Under55c389.18$214 inWon+$175.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over50c388$194 inLost-$19417047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over47c142.63$67 inLost-$67.046233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over44c109.82$48 inLost-$48.3245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c100$50 inWon+$5036749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Over46c86.62$40 inLost-$39.676844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Over50c77.6$39 inLost-$38.82646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c66.72$33 inWon+$33.3637665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe151…df08backed Over50c64.72$32 inLost-$32.36540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under55c55.98$31 inWon+$25.193050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb028…5652backed Under54c36.51$20 inWon+$16.792356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under55c35.38$19 inWon+$15.9214844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf2…8bf0backed Under55c26.54$15 inWon+$11.945947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked Under50c20$10 inWon+$106544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under55c19.46$11 inWon+$8.765858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.