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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers56c42,945$23,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,907.7617251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics47c20,962$9,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,034.621,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Celtics42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,60011333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Celtics48c12,104$5,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,293.9227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed 76ers57c6,036$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.265050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers52c5,313$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics48c3,053$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.5416547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Celtics49c2,819$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.6215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Celtics42c2,735$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.5169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 76ers59c2,591$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.0156945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0351…ab88backed 76ers51c2,238$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.794445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked 76ers52c1,942$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.0520352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Celtics41c1,830$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.7815246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed 76ers58c1,681$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers48c1,471$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Celtics47c1,442$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.1813642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed 76ers51c1,070$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8824247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers55c1,057$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Celtics45c1,050$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.497358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Celtics47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.93342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed 76ers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics49c998.16$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Celtics48c958.8$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.583641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Celtics42c940.96$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.769540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed 76ers52c918.54$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6411558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked 76ers52c905.31$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.7612451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ce…979fbacked Celtics49c898.18$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics44c803.56$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.041,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Celtics48c698.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.477156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Celtics46c655.63$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed 76ers58c628.41$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8916251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed22…d661backed Celtics50c518.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.345100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 76ers58c510.4$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0323553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked 76ers53c421.05$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.548748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Celtics43c342$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.031,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed 76ers57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8421164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed 76ers57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8436450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Celtics47c334.87$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics40c331.58$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.522,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb91…f1edbacked 76ers58c316.14$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.364969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked 76ers51c310$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.14420.5%9 W · 35 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 76ers19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics45c295$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…1f6cbacked 76ers60c284.67$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers55c256.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.043,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Celtics43c251.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7855…38a0backed 76ers59c231.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked 76ers51c222$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers57c203.9$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.221,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed 76ers55c197.27$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed 76ers48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9313540.7%55 W · 80 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed 76ers51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0612451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked 76ers55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.38545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Celtics46c174.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed 76ers8c170.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3401…2c62backed 76ers59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed 76ers19c156.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.771,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked 76ers51c145.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0512646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics40c141.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1912…b7c4backed Celtics42c137.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.971070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 76ers10c137$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked 76ers19c136.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.452520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90bb…abbbbacked 76ers60c128.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.932450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd518…a1b2backed 76ers59c123.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.161822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked 76ers56c121.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1910045%45 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Celtics49c118.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.41,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked 76ers54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed 76ers53c110.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3127549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed 76ers60c107.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4246348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed 76ers55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.526656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Celtics48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked 76ers23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.946723.9%16 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed 76ers51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.534148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked 76ers59c94.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4716230.9%50 W · 112 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked 76ers51c92.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2710247.1%48 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Celtics52c91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8120055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6941…d614backed 76ers55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.654450%22 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed 76ers55c81.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.763141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b2…3ebfbacked 76ers59c78.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.043036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191e…9891backed Celtics50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+47.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed 76ers55c67.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1111250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9803…719abacked 76ers52c65.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed 76ers21c63.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Celtics46c62.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed 76ers20c62.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.572846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed 76ers55c53.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.199446.8%44 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Celtics46c52.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.341,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Celtics41c49.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.055846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked 76ers52c47.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.756756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked 76ers58c44.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.663154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed 76ers59c42.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.364946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked Celtics44c42.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.721560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked 76ers59c39.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked 76ers51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.419355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed 76ers55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4628547.7%136 W · 149 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.