TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-23.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,464 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e3…fbb2backed 76ers44c9,965$4,375 inLost-$4,374.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7083…1937backed Celtics56c7,873$4,409 inWon+$3,464.186100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed 76ers53c5,000$2,650 inLost-$2,649.9832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics47c3,227$1,529 inWon+$1,697.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics57c1,005$570 inWon+$43576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Celtics47c618$290 inWon+$327.542454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Celtics47c566.5$266 inWon+$300.2552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Celtics51c211$108 inWon+$103.3989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics58c202.79$117 inWon+$85.5152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed 76ers49c197.84$97 inLost-$96.9427745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Celtics47c154.5$73 inWon+$81.892347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Celtics47c125.58$59 inWon+$66.5640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed 76ers40c100$40 inLost-$4022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Celtics47c89.98$42 inWon+$47.6949247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553c…7924backed 76ers47c26.29$12 inLost-$12.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Celtics50c21.02$11 inWon+$10.5137665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.