NBA · resolved market
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cd9cd7bd050a2189debdd0b189c7269082f0dd8087a4ce5a8e673c1f95f3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 64c | 4,246$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.74 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 38c | 3,109$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.67 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 43c | 1,105$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.07 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Yes | 56c | 606.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…f745backed Yes | 57c | 478.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…3614backed Yes | 56c | 418.09$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked No | 44c | 321.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 44c | 272.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 43c | 217.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 43c | 184.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes | 57c | 181.1$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -14.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed No | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 45c | 94.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 45c | 89.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed No | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Yes | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ce…a3f0backed Yes | 57c | 41.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Yes | 57c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1ee1backed Yes | 57c | 27.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 53c | 24.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…cd37backed No | 44c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 202.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-19.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-23.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.