TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73e9…3614

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$290.05
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$199.25
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.95
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.43
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.49
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$191.04
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$183.96
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$225.27
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.71
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.12
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.13
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.17
Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.6
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$184.31
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.46
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$197.94
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.8
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.89
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$203.45
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.03
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.78
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$192.41
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$181.79
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$190.01
Noah Clowney: Points O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.99
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,651.77
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$825.27
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,308.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,793Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,793
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$761.41
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,964Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,114.45
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3,638.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$93.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,607.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.