TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd38…99d4backed No49c957.24$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9125657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26013751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e9…3614backed Yes55c424.53$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.044050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f6…7b3ebacked No3c331.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No44c99.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9912347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…76dbbacked Yes80c85.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.218100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5714953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…2be5backed Yes57c35.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No41c32.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2856050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a7…d1cbbacked Yes59c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.833542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4227539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ed…db3dbacked No49c24.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfea…dc29backed Yes59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.647150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.