NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e2bb8b8eb3ea6581debc3045f22db100df08e86ecbf2dc7c337d1c606cf79e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Magic, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,598,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,899,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,598,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Magic | 24c | 950,884$225,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225,597.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 77c | 450,234$347,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,483.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 77c | 400,308$308,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,070.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 76c | 333,791$254,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,772.12 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 22c | 222,317$48,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,037.03 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Magic | 23c | 200,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 79c | 174,079$136,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,196.82 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 23c | 169,681$38,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,518.55 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 23c | 150,640$34,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,550.75 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 12c | 146,158$17,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,662.25 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Pistons | 78c | 135,400$105,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,236.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 78c | 62,697$49,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,559.75 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 77c | 57,445$44,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,986.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 78c | 52,953$41,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,562.04 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Pistons | 78c | 52,000$40,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,439.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Pistons | 79c | 50,400$39,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Pistons | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.94 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Magic | 23c | 49,290$11,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,336.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 7c | 45,792$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.45 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Magic | 9c | 45,375$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.86 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Pistons | 77c | 38,330$29,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,815.93 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Magic | 23c | 36,364$8,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.13 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed Magic | 22c | 36,364$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Magic | 22c | 35,000$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.35 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Magic | 22c | 32,000$7,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,040 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pistons | 76c | 30,897$23,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.25 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Magic | 22c | 30,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Magic | 23c | 29,611$6,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,810.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Pistons | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pistons | 78c | 24,675$19,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 77c | 24,579$18,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,718.94 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Magic | 23c | 24,500$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Pistons | 78c | 23,863$18,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.82 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Pistons | 78c | 23,590$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.74 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons | 75c | 23,214$17,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.45 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 77c | 22,424$17,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 78c | 21,755$16,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.16 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Magic | 23c | 21,739$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Magic | 32c | 19,609$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Magic | 21c | 18,212$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.72 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Magic | 23c | 17,017$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.69 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Magic | 17c | 16,945$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Pistons | 80c | 16,370$13,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.1 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Magic | 10c | 15,895$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.04 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Magic | 15c | 15,472$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.62 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic | 24c | 15,417$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…6c57backed Magic | 24c | 15,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Magic | 24c | 14,583$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…98a4backed Magic | 9c | 14,093$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Pistons | 77c | 12,987$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Magic | 19c | 12,860$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Magic | 22c | 12,493$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.81 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 8c | 12,377$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.14 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 14c | 12,218$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.36 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 26c | 12,096$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.05 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Pistons | 77c | 11,500$8,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 18c | 11,111$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Magic | 23c | 10,971$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Magic | 6c | 10,640$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.15 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 1c | 10,217$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Magic | 23c | 9,802$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.39 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Magic | 23c | 9,563$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.44 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…a682backed Magic | 23c | 9,501$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Magic | 23c | 9,500$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Magic | 13c | 9,459$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.1 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Magic | 23c | 9,375$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Magic | 9c | 9,132$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 6c | 9,116$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.33 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Magic | 17c | 9,100$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Magic | 8c | 9,022$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.76 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Magic | 23c | 8,816$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.73 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 8,800$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Pistons | 78c | 8,783$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Magic | 9c | 8,755$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Magic | 2c | 8,750$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Magic | 24c | 8,615$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.7 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Magic | 1c | 8,272$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Magic | 8c | 7,951$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Magic | 20c | 7,909$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.33 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 77c | 7,500$5,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Magic | 19c | 7,190$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Pistons | 79c | 7,162$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.03 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 10c | 7,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 77c | 7,000$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Magic | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Magic | 15c | 6,533$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…afc0backed Pistons | 76c | 6,500$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…d680backed Magic | 0c | 6,429$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 78c | 6,409$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 23c | 6,200$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Magic | 19c | 6,013$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.02 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Magic | 1c | 6,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Pistons | 75c | 5,743$4,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.24 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Magic | 23c | 5,596$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 77c | 5,551$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.04 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Pistons | 75c | 5,544$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c0…3a71backed Pistons | 78c | 5,323$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…c719backed Magic | 23c | 5,323$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistonsthis page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.