NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0a6f28646ef5891492c1b884be0b2b2c6822474b939bb71b2f88aff0a89dba

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Pistons, Magic
Resolved: Apr 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $386,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $500,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,897 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x54d2…ac37backed Magic	47c	110,235$51,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,491.52	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Magic	45c	37,108$16,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,409.21	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Pistons	55c	28,650$15,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,755	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	51c	18,423$9,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,328.32	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Pistons	53c	17,750$9,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,407.64	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic	48c	14,887$7,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,741.37	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons	53c	13,388$7,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,065.05	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Pistons	53c	13,340$7,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,070	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f78…f679backed Pistons	53c	10,899$5,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,776.47	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	54cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Pistons	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magic	46c	9,973$4,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,385.54	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Pistons	54c	9,276$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons	55c	7,283$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pistons	52c	6,446$3,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,351.91	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Pistons	53c	6,000$3,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,179.99	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Pistons	53c	5,659$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons	50c	5,562$2,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,753.65	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic	47c	4,870$2,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,557.04	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	53c	4,139$2,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,197.79	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Magic	44c	4,117$1,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,285.83	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Pistons	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Pistons	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Magic	48c	3,700$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,923.98	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Pistons	52c	3,654$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Pistons	54c	3,641$1,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,966	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pistons	53c	3,378$1,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,786.94	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Magic	48c	2,423$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260.19	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c0…a6e7backed Pistons	53c	2,398$1,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.36per pick	52cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pistons	51c	2,263$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.19	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons	53c	2,241$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.68	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	59c	2,131$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.06	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Pistons	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Magic	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons	55c	1,909$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.95	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons	54c	1,849$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.57	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Pistons	55c	1,832$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pistons	54c	1,740$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.6	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pistons	52c	1,538$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pistons	53c	1,500$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Magic	47c	1,435$674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.6	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons	53c	1,420$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.21	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Pistons	53c	1,386$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe7…68f3backed Pistons	55c	1,368$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Pistons	52c	1,346$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Magic	47c	1,209$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.05	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Magic	47c	1,180$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.39	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Magic	48c	1,094$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.75	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Pistons	55c	1,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Magic	44c	1,065$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.7	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Magic	48c	1,020$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.4	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Pistons	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Magic	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons	54c	999.99$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Pistons	51c	999.96$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.98	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Pistons	51c	969$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.19	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Pistons	54c	962.62$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.63	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Magic	48c	824.83$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.83	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Magic	49c	816.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.33	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Magic	39c	814.14$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.91	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Pistons	53c	802.9$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.5	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.0wins	-0.20per pick	44cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pistons	53c	774.28$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.42	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Pistons	53c	755.55$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.44	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de0…0859backed Magic	48c	734.4$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	47c	696$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.97	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Pistons	53c	665.33$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Pistons	53c	660.38$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-6.1wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Magic	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Magic	46c	600$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic	46c	595.5$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.85	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Pistons	53c	561.66$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.68	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Magic	46c	531.51$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.62	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Magic	48c	520$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.4	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Pistons	66c	508.98$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Pistons	65c	507.89$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Magic	32c	500$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	+14.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe977…807ebacked Pistons	53c	416.77$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.91	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Magic	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Magic	46c	350.6$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.32	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Pistons	53c	350$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pistons	53c	310$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.3	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Magic	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Magic	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Magic	46c	299.88$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.94	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons	48c	287.65$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.71	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Pistons	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Magic	48c	271$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.92	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Magic	46c	249.99$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	-18.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	54c	232$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.78	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Magic	39c	226.06$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.06	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Magic	43c	224.84$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.15	198	52%103 W · 95 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Magic	49c	224.49$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.49	258	50%129 W · 129 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Magic	46c	215.37$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.3	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Magic	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Magic	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398a…868bbacked Magic	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Pistons	52c	202.92$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.52	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Magic	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Magic	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	124	34.7%43 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Pistons	55c	194.18$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.8	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event