NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3e8f7cd107c83c2fbe497d4ec571bdb845b5961a21b911c0f7bf0de9b02ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,233,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,303,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,233,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 51c | 492,220$253,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,460.04 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 49c | 400,786$194,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,892.95 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Magic | 50c | 120,250$60,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,124.91 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Magic | 50c | 100,253$50,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,126.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 50c | 80,365$40,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,182.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 50c | 61,532$30,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,766 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Magic | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 48c | 38,283$18,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,857.67 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Pistons | 50c | 27,900$13,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,818.28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Magic | 51c | 24,000$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Pistons | 50c | 22,500$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Magic | 52c | 22,000$11,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Magic | 51c | 18,439$9,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Pistons | 48c | 13,857$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Magic | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,461.54 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 52c | 12,500$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Magic | 54c | 12,286$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,685.65 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Pistons | 49c | 11,879$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons | 60c | 10,839$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Magic | 51c | 10,600$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…a6e7backed Pistons | 49c | 10,204$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Pistons | 48c | 9,168$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.51 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pistons | 51c | 8,400$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…cb55backed Pistons | 48c | 8,206$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Magic | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 49c | 7,892$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 49c | 6,736$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Pistons | 50c | 6,612$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 47c | 6,338$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.45 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,165$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Pistons | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Magic | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Magic | 46c | 5,500$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.9 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 54c | 5,383$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 48c | 5,231$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.07 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 52c | 5,055$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.95 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pistons | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 52c | 4,920$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 50c | 4,689$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.52 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pistons | 56c | 4,614$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.63 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Magic | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,430$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Pistons | 69c | 4,347$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Pistons | 49c | 4,085$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.87 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 58c | 4,042$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.46 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Pistons | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…2492backed Magic | 50c | 3,940$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…fc45backed Pistons | 48c | 3,779$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…f9d9backed Magic | 52c | 3,753$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…c276backed Pistons | 48c | 3,722$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…d347backed Magic | 52c | 3,688$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…a8f2backed Magic | 52c | 3,685$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7b…7ce4backed Pistons | 48c | 3,628$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Magic | 33c | 3,599$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.02 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 50c | 3,390$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pistons | 46c | 3,355$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.86 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Magic | 52c | 3,269$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Magic | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Pistons | 50c | 2,960$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 55c | 2,835$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Magic | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Magic | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 50c | 2,591$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.55 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 49c | 2,486$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.8 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 50c | 2,436$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Magic | 52c | 2,427$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Magic | 52c | 2,404$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Magic | 50c | 2,361$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.87 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 50c | 2,318$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pistons | 43c | 2,128$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.99 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…c05abacked Pistons | 49c | 2,127$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…e877backed Magic | 52c | 2,080$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…c9c6backed Magic | 52c | 2,067$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 39c | 2,053$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Magic | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Magic | 51c | 1,993$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…f7d1backed Magic | 52c | 1,935$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Pistons | 51c | 1,934$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Magic | 46c | 1,901$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.51 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…20babacked Pistons | 48c | 1,874$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Pistons | 49c | 1,808$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.82 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Magic | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 40c | 1,680$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Pistons | 50c | 1,466$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 31c | 1,409$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…05f5backed Magic | 38c | 1,304$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,202$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.08 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Magic | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Pistons | 55c | 1,140$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.97 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Pistons | 72c | 1,125$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.67 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…2632backed Magic | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.