NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57eb61a08cc2b4bc79b430a34cf1b4cbaee220d8113eae4708a3788c603915e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 1,800$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,557$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Over | 66c | 1,139$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 25c | 1,107$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…7332backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 45c | 933.33$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 13c | 922.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 26c | 826.64$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 49c | 824$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Over | 55c | 740$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.9 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 731.26$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.1 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 25c | 650$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 22c | 568.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 47c | 508.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…c07fbacked Under | 35c | 465.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Under | 16c | 439.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 44c | 400.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Under | 32c | 308.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 47c | 242.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 70c | 229.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 44c | 215$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…22a9backed Under | 45c | 196.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 189.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…3fb1backed Under | 34c | 137.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Over | 75c | 119.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Under | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 160 | 27.5%44 W · 116 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…5e78backed Under | 41c | 84.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 56c | 64.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 79c | 55.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…c7b9backed Under | 46c | 53.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 53.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed Over | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Under | 45c | 44.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 67c | 43.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 30c | 43.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 62c | 38.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Over | 62c | 38.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 56c | 36.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…5c54backed Over | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 26.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 22.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…edb1backed Under | 47c | 22.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…3895backed Over | 77c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Magic won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.