TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaec…c07f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 46 out of 100 (-0.03 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category CS2 at 46 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$77.88
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$71.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$41.57
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.82
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$8.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$103.39
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.7%+$53.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$16.39
Will Jirí Procházka win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$16.93
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.47
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$15.74
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.99
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.83
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcin Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.08
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.42
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+115.7%+$14.64
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Imanol Rodriguez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+79.4%+$9.61
Will Santiago Luna win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.