CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a1be72980b4ae39edf1f7ef54c04a5041fc905d23c21e0495fc57c4ef7566d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof Bounty Hunters Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,210 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 5,900$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.51 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 1c | 2,686$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 2,673$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.53 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed METANOIA WOLVES | 44c | 2,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.47 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 1,733$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.51 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 1,511$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.56 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 856.3$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 853.88$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…241fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 794.84$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 783.45$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 696.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.65 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 674.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.04 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…94abbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 327.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 295.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 295$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 216.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 62c | 213$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 171.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 133.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 130.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed METANOIA WOLVES | 57c | 95.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 88.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 83.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…1c5dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 81.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…e8b2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 54.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 45.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 41.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…c07fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 35.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 31.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 27.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 25.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.