UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4f7ea62f286e88a8e17c671adfa96854ade1d8df4e17b16f41346bee570013f

Rebuilt 45 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Tofiq Musayevof Ignacio Bahamondes, Tofiq Musayev
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $706,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $805,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,428 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Tofiq Musayev	27c	138,414$37,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,464.53	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Tofiq Musayev	26c	128,096$33,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,700.31	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	102,366$75,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,725.37	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Ignacio Bahamondes	13c	27,897$3,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740.94	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ignacio Bahamondes	72c	23,007$16,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,645.05	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Ignacio Bahamondes	32c	21,941$7,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,029.1	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	20,000$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	20,000$14,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,599.94	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	18,015$13,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,151.9	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	17,147$12,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,517.52	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	15,430$11,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,620.39	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	14,827$11,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,120.12	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tofiq Musayev	59c	13,507$7,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,597.71	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	11,000$8,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,169.75	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Tofiq Musayev	25c	9,750$2,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,312.47	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	9,664$7,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,054.47	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ignacio Bahamondes	72c	7,946$5,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,757.54	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Tofiq Musayev	24c	7,867$1,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,005.98	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Tofiq Musayev	27c	7,329$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,349.93	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	16c	6,578$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.1	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	45c	6,386$2,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,842.38	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	6,011$4,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,508.38	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Ignacio Bahamondes	51c	5,296$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ignacio Bahamondes	53c	5,142$2,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,709.36	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Tofiq Musayev	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,699.95	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ignacio Bahamondes	44c	4,966$2,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,206.93	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Tofiq Musayev	26c	3,972$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,938.94	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c68…6746backed Ignacio Bahamondes	54c	3,721$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.5	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	3,608$2,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,683.97	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tofiq Musayev	26c	3,505$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.87	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	72c	3,500$2,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,520.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	3,498$2,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,553.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Tofiq Musayev	27c	2,598$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,896.39	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	37c	2,372$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$879.29	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c1…5177backed Ignacio Bahamondes	55c	2,356$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ignacio Bahamondes	24c	2,345$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.13	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ignacio Bahamondes	54c	2,035$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.68	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	2,011$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Tofiq Musayev	20c	2,001$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600.1	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	2,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.01	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Ignacio Bahamondes	12c	2,000$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Ignacio Bahamondes	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	72c	1,944$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.68	420	54%227 W · 193 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ignacio Bahamondes	32c	1,811$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.36	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	1,800$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	1,700$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.92	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	48c	1,648$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.81	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Tofiq Musayev	20c	1,581$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.53	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	1,541$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Tofiq Musayev	26c	1,500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Tofiq Musayev	27c	1,498$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.17	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Tofiq Musayev	76c	1,490$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+89.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ignacio Bahamondes	57c	1,422$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.38	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	48c	1,404$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.53	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	1,396$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.1	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	1,358$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Ignacio Bahamondes	72c	1,276$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.2	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Tofiq Musayev	57c	1,232$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.99	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Ignacio Bahamondes	43c	1,011$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.72	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbc0…c9e8backed Ignacio Bahamondes	30c	1,001$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	1,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	1,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Ignacio Bahamondes	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Tofiq Musayev	27c	1,000$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Tofiq Musayev	26c	1,000$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…ff0ebacked Ignacio Bahamondes	21c	976.85$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.14	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	954.36$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Ignacio Bahamondes	75c	943.99$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Ignacio Bahamondes	65c	941.99$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.63	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Tofiq Musayev	28c	918$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.96	86	36%31 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x427e…5ab4backed Ignacio Bahamondes	71c	909$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	897$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.78	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Tofiq Musayev	26c	896.44$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.44	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe631…ce4cbacked Tofiq Musayev	79c	890.99$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Tofiq Musayev	78c	882.99$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.3	161	56.5%91 W · 70 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ignacio Bahamondes	52c	867$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.02	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eec…8f96backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	839.28$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed Tofiq Musayev	29c	831$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+244.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Ignacio Bahamondes	73c	821.92$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tofiq Musayev	27c	800$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Tofiq Musayev	25c	776.97$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.73	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Ignacio Bahamondes	53c	773.77$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.74	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tofiq Musayev	26c	754.99$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.69	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Ignacio Bahamondes	28c	751.6$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.26	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Tofiq Musayev	27c	740.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.74	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Ignacio Bahamondes	20c	719.35$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.87	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tofiq Musayev	27c	712.13$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.85	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	672.85$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.94	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Ignacio Bahamondes	43c	647.84$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.59	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-29%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Ignacio Bahamondes	74c	646.42$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.35	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ignacio Bahamondes	47c	640.02$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.9	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Ignacio Bahamondes	39c	573$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.61	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Tofiq Musayev	27c	555.56$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.56	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Ignacio Bahamondes	3c	550.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Ignacio Bahamondes	62c	528.28$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.95	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…67a8backed Ignacio Bahamondes	62c	528.28$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.95	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ignacio Bahamondes	65c	519.16$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.95	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Ignacio Bahamondes win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Tofiq Musayev win by KO or TKO?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event