UFC · resolved market
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4214defe0531b239e9e573b925b1dc5d487c01115b625b6385939a1e22cfabff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mateusz Gamrotof Mateusz Gamrot, Esteban Ribovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Mateusz Gamrot | 69c | 62,434$43,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,354.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Esteban Ribovics | 31c | 57,516$17,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,829.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Esteban Ribovics | 12c | 10,046$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.2 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 9,898$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.4 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Esteban Ribovics | 36c | 7,947$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 6,885$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 6,785$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Esteban Ribovics | 31c | 6,088$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.98 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Mateusz Gamrot | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.96 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 4,946$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.03 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Esteban Ribovics | 30c | 4,917$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.33 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 3,961$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.59 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mateusz Gamrot | 63c | 3,523$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.66 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Esteban Ribovics | 31c | 3,364$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.98 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 3,240$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Esteban Ribovics | 35c | 3,180$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.89 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 2,870$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.13 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Esteban Ribovics | 40c | 2,858$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…7eb3backed Mateusz Gamrot | 69c | 2,845$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 2,825$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 2,825$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Esteban Ribovics | 14c | 2,803$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.19 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 2,738$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.07 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mateusz Gamrot | 60c | 2,643$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.26 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Esteban Ribovics | 38c | 2,474$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.96 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 2,412$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.23 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…0e04backed Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 2,135$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 2,111$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.62 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 2,017$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.58 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Mateusz Gamrot | 62c | 2,013$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.9 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Esteban Ribovics | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 1,990$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.58 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 1,959$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.13 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 1,711$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.88 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…1a28backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 1,695$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Esteban Ribovics | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 1,447$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…96c3backed Esteban Ribovics | 6c | 1,130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Mateusz Gamrot | 65c | 1,054$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.01 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 959.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Esteban Ribovics | 38c | 942.28$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 908.68$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Mateusz Gamrot | 70c | 841.71$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 832.63$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.77 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 830.23$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 783.68$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Esteban Ribovics | 16c | 776.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 728.73$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 724.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 723.7$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.37 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 721.68$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Mateusz Gamrot | 76c | 654.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf89…9492backed Mateusz Gamrot | 65c | 628.52$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 614.56$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 606.76$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 605.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 602.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Esteban Ribovics | 31c | 598.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 593.7$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 585.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Esteban Ribovics | 13c | 551.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 549.26$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Mateusz Gamrot | 66c | 516.13$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 508.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…6ea2backed Esteban Ribovics | 36c | 496.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 495.3$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 492.15$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 485.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Esteban Ribovics | 35c | 480.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…c3a6backed Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 474.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Esteban Ribovics | 34c | 462.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…c11dbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 69c | 455.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mateusz Gamrot | 64c | 448.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.82 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 437.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Esteban Ribovics | 33c | 436.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 419.98$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Mateusz Gamrot | 62c | 405.07$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…5067backed Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 394.53$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 391.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…9cc4backed Mateusz Gamrot | 61c | 386.03$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Esteban Ribovics | 4c | 380.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Mateusz Gamrot | 70c | 368.18$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…a674backed Mateusz Gamrot | 70c | 366.92$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…723abacked Mateusz Gamrot | 67c | 365.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Esteban Ribovics | 35c | 351.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 351.17$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…edd6backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 328.63$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Mateusz Gamrot | 70c | 326.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Mateusz Gamrot | 61c | 324.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Esteban Ribovics | 32c | 319.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e1…535ebacked Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 317.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…0f9cbacked Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 317.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…60f0backed Mateusz Gamrot | 68c | 313.86$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Mateusz Gamrot win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.