Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc09890bd4e2116ba2626ef9ef13768fc6bb4262f93296a29edd1f1e21925b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Conviction
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Maryville University | 75c | 2,175$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.68 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maryville University | 73c | 1,333$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.54 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Conviction | 44c | 1,255$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.79 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Conviction | 46c | 1,124$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.38 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Conviction | 13c | 1,032$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Conviction | 27c | 935.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Conviction | 42c | 529.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Conviction | 52c | 466.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Maryville University | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Maryville University | 56c | 357.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Maryville University | 50c | 357.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Maryville University | 58c | 339.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Conviction | 56c | 312.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Maryville University | 71c | 299.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Maryville University | 58c | 286.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Maryville University | 44c | 225.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Maryville University | 31c | 214.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Conviction | 49c | 208.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Maryville University | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Conviction | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Maryville University | 61c | 180.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Conviction | 27c | 149.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Maryville University | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Conviction | 8c | 133$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Maryville University | 45c | 125.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Maryville University | 61c | 122.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Conviction | 49c | 118.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…ef2fbacked Conviction | 17c | 117.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Maryville University | 58c | 104.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Maryville University | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…5ed5backed Conviction | 33c | 66.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Conviction | 40c | 63.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Conviction | 23c | 63.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…3576backed Conviction | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Conviction | 46c | 53.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Maryville University | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Conviction | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Maryville University | 61c | 45.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…0e2ebacked Conviction | 38c | 43.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Conviction | 50c | 41.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Conviction | 45c | 41.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Conviction | 50c | 40.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Maryville University | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Conviction | 50c | 32.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Conviction | 45c | 32.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Conviction | 54c | 32.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Maryville University | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Maryville University | 75c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Conviction | 50c | 27.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Conviction | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…c07fbacked Maryville University | 50c | 25.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked Conviction | 45c | 24.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Maryville University | 45c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2357…2cccbacked Conviction | 45c | 22.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Conviction | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Maryville University | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Maryville University | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Conviction | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 72.5%108 W · 41 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.