TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59cc…b1ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT7750.6%39 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$14.91
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$47.31
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.17
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$34.58
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$56.05
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$48.01
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$51.26
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.01
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$42.96
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.89
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.35
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$88.64
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.23
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.33
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.83
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$13.29
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$28.51
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.6
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Valorant: XtremeDogs vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked Bitfix Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.17
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.03
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$38.62
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Dplus (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Insomnia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$37.16
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$80.8
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$9.39
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.63
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$17.32
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.88
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$47.29
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$34.32
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$32.99
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Playoffsbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.75
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$11.34
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$81.19
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.77
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.41
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.95
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$78.26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$17.12
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$62.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$48.61
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$4.83
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs BOSS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR - Map 2 Winnerbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$65.88
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+160.3%+$104.53
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$11.74
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$20.82
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.94
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.08
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.58
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.1
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.53
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$22.43
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$34.37
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$14.17
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$26.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.01
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$7.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.43
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.01
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Anna Bondar vs Magdalena Frechbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$65.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.