Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b00876c496d192c682b422f491b65555cb658763a738877a8daf72c9c51976b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $648,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 59,255$31,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,555.6 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 47c | 37,518$17,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,896.4 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 37,516$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 35,923$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 47c | 26,512$12,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,037.78 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora | 53c | 23,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,699.82 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 16,242$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 43c | 14,905$6,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,537.53 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 13,177$5,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,826.14 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Aurora | 48c | 11,334$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.76 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.65 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 44c | 8,914$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.43 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 50c | 8,130$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Aurora | 46c | 8,060$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 7,917$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.8 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 49c | 7,400$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.88 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 7,246$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Aurora | 36c | 7,172$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.54 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 41c | 6,617$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.68 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora | 39c | 6,443$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.74 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 5,723$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora | 35c | 5,600$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.89 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.6 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 49c | 5,347$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.89 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 5,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.98 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 37c | 5,000$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.62 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.76 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Aurora | 49c | 4,330$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.19 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,053$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.69 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,927$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 70c | 3,919$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.6 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 32c | 3,453$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.91 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 49c | 3,450$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.5 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Aurora | 44c | 3,352$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.14 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.76 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Aurora | 29c | 2,900$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,825$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.04 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 46c | 2,763$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.82 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,551$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.08 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora | 46c | 2,525$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.48 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 45c | 2,524$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 45c | 2,500$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.95 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,381$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.05 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 43c | 2,306$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.61 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,302$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.05 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 47c | 2,124$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.7 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Aurora | 72c | 2,019$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.93 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 2,014$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.8 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,000$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.28 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,922$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.37 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Aurora | 46c | 1,721$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.82 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,719$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.44 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,604$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.02 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,552$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.88 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,500$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.6 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Aurora | 40c | 1,458$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.93 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,400$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.35 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,396$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.82 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,391$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,382$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 8c | 1,379$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.19 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Aurora | 67c | 1,370$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.46 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,349$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora | 34c | 1,274$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.25 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora | 45c | 1,200$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.3 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Aurora | 44c | 1,111$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,110$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.66 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Aurora | 51c | 1,100$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,090$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.59 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora | 49c | 1,032$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 45c | 1,010$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,001$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Aurora | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 10c | 982$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.08 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 47c | 954.69$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.36 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 898.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Aurora | 54c | 888$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.21 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 854.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 41c | 841.21$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.34 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 825.81$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.56 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 783.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 773.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 27c | 754.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.88 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 730.37$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.79 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 727.07$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 48c | 713$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 708.12$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.61 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 700$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 65c | 671.83$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.03 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 662.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 45c | 660.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 47c | 659.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Aurora | 43c | 651.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.86 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.